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Friday 2 May 2014

Toor To Leave Us Wanting More

Good Morning/Evening everybody, I hope we are all ready for a big weekend of racing from across the globe with our focus on England of course. The flat season is finding it's stride and today will mark the first Classic of the season in the 2000 Guineas in which Kingman is a warm favourite for. While the flat season warms up the jumps season is closing down as the final festival of the year at Punchestown marks it's last day of 2014. However as the main season of jumping winds down, the summer jumping season starts up and they go to post today at Uttoxeter and Hexham. The main meeting of the day comes from flat racing HQ which is of course Newmarket whereas Thirsk stage an eight race card including the Thirsk Hunt Cup (careful how you pronounce that). Supporting cards also come courtesy of Goodwood and Doncaster.

As always we have a video prepared for you as we cover all of tomorrow's racing including the 2000 Guineas. Joining me this week are the usual suspects in @Adamwebb121, @Mytentoryours and @Calummadell, we hope you enjoy the show!

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eJV4_QMm2WE 

Now onto today's selections.

2:55 Goodwood - Jack's Revenge

Jack's Revenge was last seen when seventh in the Lincoln earlier this year behind Ocean Tempest who won a listed race at Ascot this week. He looked to have needed that run so should strip fitter today and over a furlong shorter which may suit against weaker rivals. As always he comes with a health warning as he isn't the most straight forward of rides but on his day he is a very classy animal and has been lowered a pound for his latest effort. Out of the six horses that beat Jack's Revenge in the Lincoln, four of them won on their next start with one finishing fifth in a big handicap and the other being our next selection for the day. The form is clearly very strong from the last race and we take Jack's Revenge to put it all together today. (13/2)

3:40 Thirsk - Off Art

As mentioned in the write up for Jack's Revenge, Off Art also last ran in the Lincoln when strongly fancied and sent off 7/1 joint favourite with Tullius. He was successful on this card last year and there was a great deal of stable confidence behind him that day and he ran with credit against more experienced rivals who as previously mentioned have franked the form since. Tim Easterby's Colt has remained on the same mark after that run which would seem a winning mark with three of the four horses that beat him winning next time out. One of those horses is Robert The Painter who with Julie Burke's three pound claim runs off the same mark as the Lincoln, however improvement is expected in Off Art. David Allan to steer Off Art to victory in the Thirsk Hunt Cup and get his career back on track after disappointment last time. (5/1)

3:50 Newmarket - Toormore

Next up is the 2000 Guineas which looks to be one of the best renewals of the race in recent times with Kingman heading the market after a decisive success in the Greenham. We side with Toormore however who won the Craven in good style which is run over the same course and distance as the 2000 Guineas. Upon first viewing of the Craven you couldn't help but feel a little disappointed by the performance as he only beat The Grey Gatsby by two lengths. However he was increasing that winning distance at the end of the race and he can never be described as an emphatic winning of any race he has contested so far. That didn't stop him being crowned as Champion 2 year old last year after winning the National Stakes at the Curragh when making all. That has been a trend of his last two runs in that he has led from start to finish, but his Goodwood victory proved that the lead isn't a necessity when catching Outstrip on the line.

Kingman staked his claims when winning the Greenham in very easy fashion and handing out a four and a half length beating to Night Of Thunder in the process. I would be very wary about taking that form too literally as Night Of Thunder was the NAP of the day on the blog, however I couldn't back him after seeing his appearance in the parade ring. There is no way he was anywhere near 100% fit and if I didn't know any better he looked a touch lame on a hind leg, which would make his performance a good one. I'm not saying that he will overturn the form of Newbury but he is around 33/1 at the moment which is a ludicrous price. Toormore however get's the vote ahead of War Command. (8/1)

4:25 Newmarket - Stars Above Me

Roger Charlton confirmed Stars Above Me as a non runner at Sandown last week due to the ground getting too soft which will clearly be no problem today. We have only seen him on a racecourse twice but in them two runs he has accumulated a mark of 88 which looks very much below her. She made her debut at Glorious Goodwood and found only Valonia too good with Coral Mist behind her in third which was an eye catching first run. She then went to Leicester next time out where she won despite being frightfully keen throughout the who race but kept on in taking style to distance herself from the main field. She dips her hoof into handicap company for the first time today which should see a faster pace and should help her settle somewhat, but Stars Above Me is taken to continue her improvement. (3/1)

NAP - Stars Above Me
Nb - Toormore

Good luck everyone and as always, Happy Punting.

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