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Friday 20 September 2013

Ayr Gold Cup Day

Good morning racing fans, I hope your brains are well rested as some of the handicaps we have to look through today are horrendous! The big race today is of course the Ayr Gold Cup but down at Newbury we also have an Arc trial as well as a strong card at Newmarket. One quick mention this morning I will be starring in the first episode of a TV programme called BetRacingNation. You can watch this on freeview channel 227 or alternatively watch online or through the 'sports tonight' app. To get the link just follow @Betracingnation on twitter and we will be posting it up shortly before we are ready to go on air.

As always we have a video prepared for you with all the Channel 4 races today including the big one, joining me as always is Michael Andrews (@mytentoryours), Adam Webb (@Adamwebb121) and Calum Madell (@calummadell). If you liked the video then let us know and also tell us your fancies for today, you can watch it through the link below.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Or9P2yCkn2w&feature=youtu.be

Onto this week's racing and a few stronger selections this week.

1:50 Newbury - Kassiano

Kassiano looks to be the good thing of the day and while we aren't getting much of a price it should get us off to a winning start. He was mightily impressive last time when he had Trade Commissioner three and a half lengths behind when giving him 3 pounds at Newmarket. He will have hardly known he was in a race that day and looks to have a lot more to give for sure in what looks a fairly weak race. The danger has to come in the shape of Camborne who was impressive at Doncaster last week but he still needs to find something to trouble Kassiano. Godolphin to get today off to a flyer and land the spoils with Kassiano. (13/8)

2:05 Ayr - Willie The Whipper

We next come up to Ayr where Willie The Whipper gets his preferred conditions after running in the Great Voltigeur on ground too fast for him. He came into that race off the back of a sixth placed finish in the French Derby behind leading Arc contender Intello. It was clear from an early stage that he had little chance on the ground and was looked after by Jamie Spencer but still finished nine and a quarter lengths behind Telescope. Preference is for the overpriced Willie The Whipper. (6/1)

3:15 Ayr - Coral Mist

Charlie Hills can have a winner now with the unexposed Coral Mist who was a huge eye catcher on debut when finishing fast at Glorious Goodwood behind Valonia. They clash here again today and now Coral Mist has another race and a win under his belt should be able to reverse that form easily. The main danger comes in the form of the Irish raider Remember You for the David Wachman yard who had Galileo Rock who was third in last weeks St. Leger. Despite this being a competitive race Coral Mist can find the needed improvement to land the spoils. (7/1)

4:25 Ayr - Brae Hill

Brae Hill once won a Lincoln at Doncaster and has begun to refind some form lately when winning two starts ago and bumping into one last time out at Chester. He has slipped to a more than winable mark compared to his peak when rated in the hundreds, today he races off a mark of 92 with Paul Hanagan on board. Two runs ago he won what must be one of the strongest claiming races in history with Classic Colori, Balty Boys and Lowther in behind him, two of which won next time out. His run last time however at Chester sticks out to me as he had to come from behind which isn't his style and is hard to do on that track, in other words he did very very well to get 2nd. Brae Hill to make amends for last time with a win today. (6/1)

5:35 Ayr - Wyborne

We end today with not only our biggest priced runner but also our NAP of the day in Brian Ellison's representative, Wyborne. I was shocked to find he was 12/1 earlier as I expected at least half the price, but hey it's our gain right? He drops a furlong in trip today after not really getting home in the Old Borough Cup last time but still managing a creditable fourth, the shorter trip looks ideal. It was also a much stronger race than today last time out which is a huge positive and despite a couple of potentially well handicapped types, Wyborne can go well. One negative from his last run is that he took a bit of a pull which didn't help his chances at all, a strong pace will help him today. Wyborne can help us round off what I hope to be a winning day. (12/1)

NAP - Wyborne
Nb - Kassiano

Good luck and happy punting!

Dont forget to tune into BetRacingNation at 10am until 12pm!!!

Friday 13 September 2013

St Leger 2013 Preview

Good morning racing fans! We have an action packed afternoon of racing to sink our teeth into today culminating in the oldest classic race, the St. Leger. Before we move onto our selections today we have yet another video for you including a lot of interaction from you guys, for that we thank you. Joining me as always are Michael Andrews (@mytentoryours), Adam Webb (@Adamwebb121) and last but not least Calum Madell (@Calummadell). We hope you enjoy and will be back next Friday at 9pm but in the mean time catch up with this week's preview.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9C3YVZmItY0

As always Martin is running his Pigeon Swoop competition open to everyone, entry is simple, just tweet your selections to @Pigeon_Island. The races that are being covered this week are all at Doncaster and in particular the 2:40, 3:15, 3:50 and the 4:25, find all four winners for a free bet. Good luck if you take part!

Moving onto this weeks racing and some strong selections.

2:05 Doncaster - Outstrip

We start off today with our NAP and a winning start to the day for the boys in blue after such a good day for them yesterday. Outstrip is a horse that I have held in high esteem since his debut at Newmarket when winning a strong Maiden. That day he had to come down the centre of the track by himself which is such a hard thing for a two year old to do on such a wide track. He went on to Glorious Goodwood and was far from disgraced in a Group 2 when caught late by Toormore who is held in high regard by the Hannon's. Behind the selection that day was Parbold, Rosso Corsa, Expert and Lanark who are classy horses in their own right. It will take a very good horse to beat Outstrip today however. (9/4)

1st - Outstrip
2nd - The Grey Gatsby

2:40 Doncaster - Bogart

Bogart finally refound the winning way last time and in good style after his saddle slipped ending in an awful fall for Amy Ryan. He is raised five pounds for that win which might be a tad generous on the basis of his latest outing, especially now he is stepped up to six furlongs. On the form front he is usually at his best over 6 furlongs after winning the big 2 year old trophy at Redcar as well as two more races including his maiden. Despite this being a strong handicap as would be expected, Bogart is taken to build on his York victory and win again. (11/1)

1st - Bogart
2nd - Our Jonathan
3rd - Elusivity
4th - Steps

3:15 Doncaster - Gregorian

It is no secret that Gregorian is a horse close to my heart and he has improved yet again this season with a third in the Queen Anne and success in the Hungerford last time out. Today looks to be another good opening for him to taste Group race victory against the improving Viztoria. Aljamaaheer finished half a length ahead of the selection in the Queen Anne, but it has to be said that 7 furlongs looks on the short side. This looks just about right for John Gosden's colt who looked better than ever last time in testing ground and remains the only horse to beat Soft Falling Rain. Gregorian to land the spoils here and continue his improvement.

1st - Gregorian
2nd - Viztoria
3rd - Sovereign Debt

3:50 Doncaster - Libertarian

Godolphin are treble handed here and surprisingly it's Libertarian who carries the third string silks today in a sense that he is the shortest price. Today is what his season has been aimed at and the race is sure to suit after his Dante and Epsom Derby performances. It is best to forget his efforts in the Irish Derby as late on he didn't look right and everything was just messy with him, the break since will have put him straight. Due to Feel Like Dancing being a non runner and James Doyle being the new retained jockey for Khalid Abdullah, William Buick is free to ride. This is a huge positive as he was on board for his Dante win and Derby 2nd thus showing he gets on remarkably well with the horse. Libertarian to land this years St Leger and make it a 2nd race win in 2 years for Godolphin. (7/1)

1st - Libertarian
2nd - Foundry
3rd - Leading Light

4:35 Bath - Chesterfield and Savanna La Mar

Ironically Chesterfield was my early season fancy for the St Leger but things didn't particularly go his way and he ends up here today. It has to be said however that I thought this was one of the best races of the day in a sense that all of them are potentially better than previously shown. Chesterfield and Savanna La Mar are definitely two of them and the latter benefits from Rosie Jessop's 3 pound claim and could get a soft lead. In my humble opinion the market is all wrong in the respect that Plutocracy and Evangelist should be the two outsiders instead of the market leaders. Both selections have the potential to be Group performers, something that should come in time for both horses.

1st - Chesterfield
2nd - Savanna La Mar

Reverse forecast with the two. 


NAP - Outstrip
Nb - Gregorian


Happy punting today guys and good luck!!


Friday 6 September 2013

7th September 2013

Good morning racing fans, today is the day that a few questions will be answered as we are treated to three Group 1's in England and Ireland. Of course the hype is more around the Irish Champion Stakes at Leopardstown won by some of the greats such as Fantastic Light, Sea The Stars and High Chaparral. Today another name will be added to that list and the leading hopes are clashing again with the score tied at 1-1, of course I speak of Declaration Of War and Al Kazeem. For added excitement we have a potential superstar added in to the mix with Kingsbarns who runs for the first time this season.

Once again we have produced another video for you guys and I have been told it is our best one yet! I'll let you decide for yourselves. Joining me today is @Adamwebb121, @Calummadell and last but not least @Mytentoryours, more affectionately known as Adam, Calum and Michael. You can watch this week's video by clicking on the following link.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=F98omfs9GsQ

You will next be able to enter Martin's swoop next Monday as he takes a well deserved break today!! But onto this week's selections.

2:05 Haydock - Confessional

On the bare form Confessional doesn't have much to write home about as of late but he is a horse that can pop up with a win at an unlikely time. The most important thing for me on a day like this is that he has winning form on soft ground which will be essential this afternoon. It could be argued that he is seen at his best when there is notable give in the ground and despite it being competitive, Confessional can leave his mark on the contest. An added bonus to his chances today is that his relationship with jockey David Allan goes back to 2009 and he has ridden him on 3 of the 4 occasions he has got his head in front. Confessional to take his career tally to 5 today. (16/1)

3:15 Haydock - Blue Bajan

Blue Bajan is one of two veterans in the field today along with fellow 11 year old Nanton, Dave O'Meara's gelding has been winless since 2011 however. Since then he has dropped from a rating of 113 down to today's mark of 91 which is his lowest since 2006 when runner up in the Cambridgeshire. More recently however off a one pound higher mark he showed a return to form when travelling strongly at York to come sixth behind Broxbourne. He ran in cheek pieces for the first time that day and they seemed to perk him up with a much improved effort. On top of the lowered mark, David Bergin takes off an extra five pounds through his claim and soft ground is by no means a negative. Blue Bajan to refind the winning thread this afternoon. (16/1)

3:50 Haydock - Slade Power

Slade Power will finally get his chance to win a Group 1 on ground he gets on well with as is the case for most son's of super Sire Dutch Art. Six furlongs is undoubtedly the trip he is most effective over and after not fulfilling his potential in the Nunthorpe he can bounce back here. Of his opponents today there are doubts regarding most of them, Gordon Lord Byron may not be top class while Garswood doesn't look an out and out 6 furlong horse. Lethal Force is favourite for the race but hasn't shown a distinct love for softer ground and may struggle in these conditions. Slade Power easily accounted for Hamza and Sea Siren at the Curragh with Dandy Boy back in fourth. Eddie Lynam can train his second power to Group 1 victory. (9/1)

5:00 Haydock - Riverboat Springs

Mick Channon's colt takes a step up in trip today which looks to be exactly what the doctor ordered after being grossly outpaced at Ripon last time. On that occasion he stayed on in good style to grab second but never really stood a chance of troubling the judge. Before that he ran in the Coventry which ended up in being a complete disaster and from the first stride it was clear he was never going a yard. His most encouraging effort came at Epsom when hating the track but still flying home from an impossible position to grab second behind Thunder Strike. Connections take the brave route of stepping up straight to a mile from 6 furlongs which is completely understandable providing the way he has been running. The big danger comes in the form of Chief Barker who looked like a smart recruit when winning at Newmarket. Riverboat Springs can find the needed improvement however with Ryan Moore in the saddle. (6/1)

NAP - Riverboat Springs
Nb - Blue Bajan

Good Luck today if you are having a bet and as always happy punting!