Cheltenham 2013 - Neptune Investment Management Novices Hurdle

From horses we have loved for some time, to horses we are just learning to fall in love with today with the Neptune. This is an odd race, for some novices this is the highlight of their year, a big hurdle over 2 miles 5 furlongs. however next year there is no Championship 2 and a half mile race until you get to Aintree, this means you must either drop to 2 miles or step up to 3, or of course go chasing. However oddly, it has thrown up some fantastic Champion Hurdle horses and other Cheltenham greats.

Hardy Eustace won this back in 2003 before of course going on to back to back Champion Hurdle glory. One horse that this year is trying to emulate the great Hardy Eustace is 2011 runner up Rock on Ruby who defends his Champion Hurdle crown on day one. Peddlers Cross was of course just beaten by Hurricane Fly in the 2011 Champion after victory in the Neptune. One last previous winner to name drop is the current odds on Arkle favourite Simonsig who won this last year at a canter.

But who could possibly come out of this field and go onto further glory, out of novice company, next year or years to come. Here seems as good a point as any to begin our preview of the 2013 Neptune Investment Management Novices Hurdle.

Pont Alexandre - Unbeaten in two starts in Ireland for Willie Mullins

Pont Alexandre - It is no surprise to see a Ricci horse at the head of the betting for a Cheltenham Festival race. Pont Alexandre is a deserved one however. After just two starts in Ireland he has claimed the notable scalps of Don Cossack and Sizing Gold. A lovely bold front running type who hurdles very fluently has easily dismissed his two fields so far by a total of 24 lengths. In fairness Don Cossack fell at the last when taking Pont Alexandre on but was already beaten at the time.

Last time out at Leopardstown they didn't see which way he went doing it all the hard way and galloping his rivals into the ground. At one point it did look as if we may get a race when Sizing Gold was closing up, but when Ruby asked for a little more he duly obliged and won by 11 lengths. One of the unknown quantities about him is how he will handle the fast ground. We know he loves heavy ground with both victories coming in the very testing conditions, but that is nothing near what we will have in two weeks time. The only view we can have on that subject is our own and the fact Willie Mullins thinks he will handle it just fine.

In all, the style of his victories have been one worthy of being a Festival favourite, but there are doubts about him. Naturally you have to be a little worried about the ground coming into a race of this standard, having never experienced faster ground. However for me a bigger worry is what he will be like without the lead, both races he has made all and had an easy lead. You can bet your last penny a couple more in the field will want to go on with the running here and worry him early on. If he were to get to the lead there is always the danger of him setting the race up for one of his rivals. Finally you have to question his form, visually he has been impressive, but in truth he hasn't beaten any world beaters. Saying that you'd be a fool not to respect the manner of his victories and he clearly has some engine, earning a comparison from Ruby Walsh to Denman. A key player but he will need to improve here and connections have made it clear that next year is what it's all about. One to avoid. (5/2)

Naas winner Rule The World

Rule The World - Mouse Morris has a few hopes for Cheltenham, led by First Lieutenant in the either the Ryanair or the Gold Cup. Rule The World is in no way without a chance at all though after back to back wins the last two times out on the course.

He has been successful in 3 out of his 4 runs, beaten only by the exciting Our Vinnie who is entered for the Albert Bartlett. This gives him a straight form link with Pont Alexandre, one he comes off a lot worse from. We can forgive that however as that was his only try over 3 miles and was only touched off a head by the stamina laden Our Vinnie.

It is his last two runs for which he has gained great recognition though, firstly he beat a top class chaser in Joncol on his return from injury, which is useful form but nothing better. Then last time out at Naas he handed out a 16 length beating to Minsk with Champagne Fever a further 24 lengths behind him. Champagne Fever clearly wasn't right for that race and has since bounced back with a victory in the Deloitte.

So what is all the rage about? Personally I'm not too sure myself, he has beaten average performers well but will need to improve a lot to win a Neptune. He will also need to prove he can act on good ground, as like Pont Alexandre, he has never experienced it before. For me he is way too short in the market and unless we see further improvement he is one to dismiss. (10/1)

The New One is described as Nigel Twiston-Davies' best Festival chance

The New One - Nigel Twiston-Davies has gone on record as saying his novice is the best chance he has of a winner in the 2013 Festival. It's understandable when you see the manner of his victories this year so far. But lets take a more in depth look at his performances this season.

He started off early at Newton Abbott in a very easy race which he should win easily, he did just that when beating Roger Beantown by 26 lengths. Then he was tested for the first time over hurdles when taking on the smart Village Vic (above) and winning by two and three quarter lengths. However Village Vic has been very disappointing this season with this effort being his best run so far. Next up was a Neptune trial race, the same race won last year by Cotton Mill. I'm afraid the only thing that was Grade two about the race was the name as the standard was very poor. However credit where its due, The New One still had a job to do and he won with the minimum of fuss. Onto trials day and his first hurdles defeat in another grade 2. He went down by a neck to the progressive At Fishers Cross for Rebecca Curtis when he was once again odds on. Despite the very testing ground you would still have hoped he could prevail against two horses running over the wrong distance. He was outstayed up the hill however and Sam Twiston-Davies held his hands up and said he could have given a better ride.

After trials day connections have said he went for home too early which is probably right, but they have said a more worrying thing. Both trainer and jockey have said he has one kick at the finish which they intend on using to full effect. But is that really what you want your horse having for a festival race, especially in what is likely to be a fast pace. Pont Alexandre, Rule The World and Taquin Du Seuil all look as if they will stay further so surely a good clip is guaranteed. Not one to be with at all in my mind, also if you are into laying he is one of the lays of the Festival. (4/1)

Taquin Du Seuil (far side) jumping past Le Bec (near side)

Taquin Du Seuil - From one of the Lays of the meeting to one of the bets of the meeting in the Jonjo O'Neill French Import Taquin Du Seuil. Unfortunately pricewise put him up in the last week making his price crash in to around 11/2. I hope you backed him when put up on here before his Challow success at 16/1 and are enjoying the build up like me. He has looked a very classy recruit to the hurdling game since joining from France and has hardly put a foot wrong.

His life in England started out at Uttoxeter in a Maiden Hurdle in which he won hard held when beating a nice horse of Charlie Longsdon's by 15 lengths. His jumping that day was a bit novice like at times but once they picked up the pace he was jumping like a natural. He was then handed the impossible task of giving hot Supreme Novices favourite My Tent Or Yours 5 pounds at Ascot. However he gave it a real good try and over the last it was still in the balance before going down by one and three quarter lengths. It was clear a step up in trip was needed which is exactly what happened at Sandown (pictured above). This was arguably his most taking performance when beating the high regarded Le Bec from the Emma Lavelle yard. He won easily by 6 lengths that day but in truth it could have been as many as Tony McCoy allowed when sauntering up the hill. Next stop was his first victory in a Grade 1 as he took in the Challow Hurdle at Newbury. This was at the peak of the bad ground near the turn of the year and it took some guts and a lot of class to keep going in the mud. Eventually he beat Easter Day by 9 lengths who has since won at Huntingdon in a listed race.

He hasn't run since that day which is a very wise move from connections as it was a very tough and demanding slog round Newbury. The last thing you want to do to a 6 year old novice is bottom them out by running them too much and being greedy. One last positive is that he looks like the only genuine hurdler out of the top three in the market (Pont Alexandre and The New One). A very strong bet for the race and definitely one to keep on the right side of. (7/1) (Put up ante-post at 16/1)


There we have it guys, the leading rivals in the Neptune run through and picked apart. Let me know what races you want to see previewed next on my twitter account, @lukeyboy1325. I look forward to hearing from you.

Win - Taquin Du Seuil - 16/1 (Ante-Post)

Happy Punting

Cheltenham 2013 - Cheltenham Gold Cup

 

So yesterday we walked through the in's and out's of the Ryanair Chase on the Thursday of the Festival, today we move onto the last day. What other race could I mean other than the big one, The Cheltenham Gold Cup. A total of 24 stand their ground this year with two former winners lining up to do battle once again in Long Run and Imperial Commander.

Last year saw another of the old guard bow out and what we thought was the last of the golden era of staying chasing. I speak of Kauto Star when he was pulled up by Ruby Walsh after less than a circuit of Prestbury Park. That was the first Gold Cup I have witnessed in person and the reaction from the crowd when he pulled up was incredible. Instant applause surrounded you and I doubt Kauto could hear it but he deserved every last bit of affection that day. This looked to be the end of the Old Guard, however this season our first port of call came back from Injury. Let's begin.

Imperial Commander won the Gold Cup back in 2010



 

  

Imperial Commander - It is possibly the highlight of the season so far to have the 12 year old back on the course after almost two years off with injury. He ran an absolute blinder in the Argento on his return to be mugged on the line by Cape Tribulation and Denis O'Regan. However in doing this he showed that he retains plenty of his talent and enthusiasm, especially as it was on bottomless ground. Only four out of the 10 managed to complete that day which tells you just how testing the conditions were. He had the lead from about 5 from home that day and travelled with ease until the last, it wasn't until the final 50 yards his fitness gave out.

 

But how realistic are his Gold Cup credentials?

 

There is no doubting that he will need to improve on his reappearance, but what horse doesn't improve for a run after such a long absence. He was in receipt of 6 pounds from Cape Tribulation that day, but it could well be argued that Malcolm Jefferson's gelding handles them conditions better. Come 2 weeks time I would be shocked if we had going anywhere near as testing as on trials day, handing Imperial Commander a live chance.

 

Personally for me, I wont be backing him, but you will do well to find a better 20/1 each way shot for the whole festival nevermind this race. He could well ruffle a few feathers but may have to give way to the younger horses coming through the division. (20/1)

 

 

Sir Des Champs on his way to winning last year's Jewson

 

 

 

Sir Des Champs - Last year He remained unbeaten in his career winning the Jewson Novices Chase on the way, beating Champion Court in doing so. This year he was handed his first defeat by Flemenstar, in the John Durkan at Punchestown. It was clear that was just a run to blow away the cobwebs as Davy Russell never really went for him.

 

The biggest worry this year however is that his jumping has seriously deteriorated in a big way costing him races. One of these races was in the Lexus behind Tidal Bay when in a blanket finish including four horses. However he has proved that his stamina is more than sufficient when not really tiring in any of his races, that will be in full force here.

 

At the start of the season I was adamant that either Sir Des Champs or Flemenstar would win the Gold Cup. But after the latter was ruled out of it and Sir Des Champs being beaten by his rival over 3 miles and just prevailing last time, my opinion has changed. I couldn't have Willie Mullins charge at all here, especially if making mistakes again as that will certainly cost him his chance. Saying that he is already a dual festival winner and clearly loves the course. Id need to see more confidence at his fences however to be backing him here. (9/2)

 

 

Silviniaco Conti on his way to winning the Betfair Chase at Haydock



 



 Silviniaco Conti - Paul Nicholls said goodbye to Kauto Star at the beginning of this season and looked to have a gap in the 3 mile chasing division. Then Silviniaco Conti emerged as a genuine Gold Cup contender when handing out a 2 and a half length beating of Long Run. Before that he has also won the Charlie Hall up at Wetherby in very good style. It looked as if he had the King George at his mercy, however he didn't take up his position at Kempton. Instead he waited for February and in specific, the Denman Chase where he beat The Giant Bolster by 7 lengths.

Last year he avoided Cheltenham, at the time Paul Nicholls said the Aintree was more his track, which I fully agreed with. However this season he has said Silviniaco Conti was coughing beforehand. I am still firmly of the belief that Aintree suits his athletic frame much more than Cheltenham does. His only trip to the track came in the International hurdle of 2010, when he was beaten 5 lengths by Menorah and half a length by the novice Cue Card.

Silviniaco Conti is another of the protagonists that could be worth avoiding in the race this year as there are plenty of doubts. One last doubt it what he has actually beaten this year, all fairly weak opposition and only one horse worthy of winning a Gold Cup. That is of course Long Run, and his defeat can be forgiven as it was first time out which he doesn't usually win anyway. One to steer clear of. (5/1)



Bobs Worth beating First Lieutenant in last years RSA Chase

Bobs Worth - The top 3 mile novice last year has been favourite for the Gold Cup ever since his win in the Hennessy at Newbury. That was his only start this term, but gave First Lieutenant another beating confirming his dominance. Possibly the biggest positive of all is the fact he is four from four at Cheltenham and also a dual festival winner. On paper he is a perfect candidate for the highlight of Friday's racing and its hard to pick any holes in his form.

As a novice however he was a bit hit and miss suffering two defeats, at the hands of Invictus and Grands Crus. They were both on fairly non staying tracks which aren't really his forte, as he has already proven, Cheltenham is. One of the only negatives is that he missed his prep race due to the ground, he was declared for the Argento on trials day. Instead of taking up that engagement he had a racecourse gallop at Kempton after racing last Saturday, which he came through well.

You may be thinking to yourself, 'surely he cant take on the top three in the market' yet you are wrong. Bobs Worth doesn't appeal to me at the prices one bit and in my opinion doesn't look a Gold Cup winner. Don't get me wrong I fully expect him to make the first three and would be disappointed if he didn't, but I feel there are better horses in the race. (3/1)

2011 Gold Cup winner, Long Run

Long Run - Nicky Henderson is double handed in the Gold Cup with previous winner Long Run set to try and regain his crown. Last year he could only manage third behind Synchronised and The Giant Bolster, but he didn't seem right for the whole year in fairness. It could just be that his victory in 2011 bottomed him. He was back to his best last time however when regaining his King George crown. Im ashamed to admit that I am one of the people who believes he would be better with Geraghty on board. I also feel his guts and talent got Sam Waley-Cohen out of trouble last time. But who am I to knock a dual King George and a Gold Cup winning jockey.

To me at the prices, Long Run is the value and also the best horse in the race. Lets not forget that he handed out a beating to Kauto Star more than once and beat Denman in a Gold Cup. But he was knocked last year when only winning at Newbury and even that was far from impressive. This year however he looks somewhere near the same horse he was in 2011 after his battling win at Kempton.

One more positive is that he goes straight to the Festival this year after a hard fought success in December. He will arrive a fresh horse and after working at Kempton will be spot on for the race and should take some beating. Long Run gets the nod (7/1)


Let me know your thoughts on twitter by following me on @lukeyboy1325 and tell me if you agree or not and why.


Win - Long Run (7/1)
EW - Katenko (25/1)

Happy Punting guys

Cheltenham 2013 - Ryanair Chase

Cheltenham fever is in full flow and as we wake up this morning we have 13 days left of our countdown. To think that this time in a two weeks time we will be rising on the day the awesome Sprinter Sacre attempts to make it back to back winning Festivals. We will also know the result of the Champion Hurdle and whether we will be seeing Hurricane Fly at his illustrious best or will a young gun come through the ranks.

I recently asked my twitter followers what race at Cheltenham they would like me to cover first, with a whole host of answers the Ryanair came out on top. So here we are now, about to preview one of the most anticipated and right now confusing races of the Festival of 2013. If you would like to influence what race I review next you can follow me on @lukeyboy1325.

without further a do we shall crack on with the preview.


Cue Card - The ante-post favourite for this race and for a while was fancied in the Gold Cup betting before his flop in the King George on Boxing day. He is one of many in the race who hasn't got a target for Cheltenham set in stone but it looks as if the Ryanair will be the choice. The fall back option is to run in the Champion Chase and re-oppose Sprinter Sacre after last year's Arkle.

He burst onto the scene with a scintillating performance in the Haldon Gold Cup down at Exeter right at the start of the season, beating Edgardo Sol by 26 lengths and Menorah by 34 lengths that day. As already mentioned he then flopped when upped in trip in the King George managing only 5th and clearly not staying, beaten 20 lengths by Long Run. Then came his latest run at Ascot where he was somewhat a fortuitous winner of the Ascot Chase, when Captain Chris made a shuddering mistake 2 out. Whether Cue Card would have still won that day, we will never know but it was clear Captain Chris was going the better of the two.

He looks to hold a good chance in the race and would be a popular winner, however 4/1 may be a bit slim for him now in an open race. One last point is that there could well be some potentially better horses in the field behind him in the betting. (4/1)


Riverside Theatre - Last year's winner of the race under one of the best rides Barry Geraghty has ever given a horse when getting up on the line. He once again looks to be Nicky Henderson's leading hope in the race in which he also has Champion Chaser Finian's Rainbow and Geraghty sure to ride.

Since his success last year he hasn't quite been the same horse, he went on to be pulled up at Aintree in the Betfred Bowl and was rightly put away for the season. He made a delayed start to his season in the King George against Cue Card, but once again ran no kind of race at all, eventually finishing 7 lengths behind Cue Card. On his latest form he is very hard to fancy and you have to question if he really was a great horse last season, or if Geraghty made him look better than he is.

By any stretch of the imagination 8/1 is far too slim for what he has done since last year, and if you were to back him it would be entirely on hoping for a revival. One to give a miss with this year. (8/1)


Menorah - Quite easily described as a horse you have a love hate relationship with if you follow him. At one point in his career he looked as if he could be the next big thing in the Champion Hurdle division, He was just short of that however. Then he was an exciting recruit to fences before finding out he made the odd race ending mistake failing to complete twice in his novice year. He then restored the hope with an excellent jumping display to win at Aintree very easily, beating Al Ferof in the process.

This year however he hasn't had many problems jumping but has just been not quite good enough once again. At Exeter he was beaten 34 lengths by Cue Card, which he was entitled to need first time out. He then jumped well when winning the Peterborough Chase (at Kempton), handing out a 3 and a half length beating to Hunt Ball in the process. Last time out he was stepped up in trip for the Denman Chase over 3 miles at Newbury. Realistically he didn't have much of a chance with Silviniaco Conti but he was 14 lengths behind The Giant Bolster, also only 4 lengths ahead of Junior. On the whole not a bad run but you'd want a little more.

As far as betting goes on Menorah, personally he isn't for me, but you could find worse 12/1 shots at the meeting this year. He wouldn't be a surprise winner but should be playing for place money at best. (12/1)


First Lieutenant - Mouse Morris is very keen to send last years RSA runner up to the Gold Cup, however Michael O'Leary wants to send him here to split up himself and Sir Des Champs. Were he to come here it would be a monumental mistake, as he doesn't appear to have the pace to stay with the more athletic types in the field. Champion Court and Cue Card look set to take them along a good clip and although he would be staying on the Gold Cup remains the best option. That is all to be said for First Lieutenant. (5/1)

Sizing Europe - Beaten last year in the Champion Chase when aiming to defend his crown by Finian's Rainbow, this race looks the ideal type for him. However it wont be confirmed whether he runs here or in the Champion Chase again until late on Henry De Bromhead has revealed. If he were to take his chance here he will be bang in the firing line, at least on the betting front if not the race itself.

Unbeaten this year in Ireland as you would expect with the kind of company he has been running against and the prices he has been going off at. He once again looks to make a successful voyage to Prestbury Park and England in general. When venturing to these shores he has won a Maiden Hurdle, a Greatwood Hurdle, an Arkle, A Tingle Creek and a Champion Chase. For an Irish horse that is some portfolio and it would comfort the punter to know that he travels over well. It also would comfort them that he can reproduce his Irish form after travelling, a classic example of a horse that couldn't do that was the late Golden Silver.

He has won 4 times this term, but like I say he hasn't been competing against much and for a competitive race and lesser exposed types we will swerve him this year. (6/1)


China Rock - I cant find a definitive answer on whether this is China Rock's main target for the Festival, but after blatantly not staying the Gold Cup trip it should be. Every time he comes to Cheltenham he seems to run his race but like I say by no stretch of the imagination does he see out the Gold Cup trip. However the 2 miles 5 furlongs of the Ryanair would appear to be right up his street.

Last year he turned down the hill going much the best of the field, others were working away around him but Andrew Lynch was motionless. Then as expected at 3 out his stamina gave way and he eventually finished a remote eighth, beaten 47 and a half length's by Synchronised. He then won the Punchestown Gold Cup against all odds with relative ease under Barry Geraghty. This time he stayed the 3 miles but Punchestown is nowhere near as demanding as Cheltenham is with its undulations. We have only seen him once this year in the Lexus when leading turning for home until fitness gave out and faded to fifth. Take a look at who finished ahead of him though and its no bad thing. Tidal Bay, First Lieutenant, Flemenstar and Sir Des Champs were those four who are all Grade one horses.

He must have a huge chance if taking up his engagement here and at 25/1 cant be ignored earning him and each way vote from me. Its worth noting that if any of the others take their chance in different races he wont be a 25/1 shot. (25/1)


Champion Court - Martin Keighley's Gelding is one you cant help but love, every race he wears his heart on his sleeve and cuts out the running. He is without a win since new years day of 2012 when winning the Dipper Novices Chase. Last year he found only Sir Des Champs too good in the Jewson but had some good horses behind him with For Non Stop in third.

This year he started off in a 2 mile 1 furlong race at Ascot when giving a stone and a half to the useful William's Wishes and only going down by 6 lengths. Realistically this race was always going to be too short for him and was probably only being used as a pipe opener for the season. After that he was the each way selection on here for the King George. Turning for home you would be forgiven for mistaking him as the winner before a mix of stamina and the bottomless ground got to him. Still, he finished a very dignified fourth and only 16 and 3 quarter lengths behind Long Run. More importantly he had Cue Card and Riverside Theatre behind him that day who may take him on once more here. You can forget completely about his last run as that wasn't his true showing at all.

I have to say 10/1 does look a tad generous and is a fantastic each way price, although he really should be in with a fantastic chance of winning here. Again if some of the others ahead of him in the betting don't take up this engagement he could go off 4/1 or shorter on the day. (10/1)

Win - Champion Court (10/1)
EW - China Rock (25/1)

I hope you enjoyed this guys, hopefully there will be more to come regarding Cheltenham, don't forget to follow me on Twitter on @lukeyboy1325 and let me know your views and thoughts.

Happy Punting

23rd February 2013

Morning everyone, its getting to that time of year when you wake up and check the calendar for how long is left until the Cheltenham roar goes up on the opening Tuesday. But there is still racing to get through and even some having their prep races for the festival including today at Kempton. We also race from Newcastle who host the yearly stamina sapping slog that is the Eider Chase over 4 miles and a furlong. Firstly a review of last week as always.

Usually if we only had one winner in a week, id be sitting here typing how poor the week was and that we need to recover this week. We only had the one winner on Saturday, however that one winner was Kuilsriver who returned at 33/1 and may I say jumped fantastically on the whole. He saved our bacon last week so hopefully a more consistent blog today with regular winners again.

Kempton host's a very good card with the highlight being the Racing Plus chase won last year by Nacarat who lines up again this year. This could well be his swansong so it would be lovely to see the brave grey give a bold showing again. Newcastle also hold a seven race card which as previously mentioned stages the Eider which will see the progressive Chac Du Cadran be the likely favourite. But enough about what is going on, lets dive into the action of the week.

1:30 Kempton - Milarrow

Colin Tizzard's Gelding is ultra consistent, second the last two times and not out of the first four since December 2011 registering two wins on the way. But its the last two runs that interest me, two outings ago he was beaten out of sight by Radjhani Express, but not much would have beaten him on that day. He was also one of only 3 to finish and was 7 lengths in front of the 3rd horse Coole River who in turn is a very useful sort. Most recently however he was second to Politeo when the winner was backed heavily during the day winning by 8 lengths. The point I am making is that the last two times he has been unlucky when running into a well handicapped horse, fortunately there doesn't look anything of that kind here today. Milarrow to land a Deserved victory. (9/2)

1:45 Newcastle - Fill The Power

Sue Smith's gelding is a ready made chaser who like Milarrow has been nothing but consistent recently. He won his chasing debut at Sedgefield beating the useful yardstick in Flinty Bay with Dica back in third. He was then a well beaten third before catching the horrible seconditis. This lasted for 3 runs before unseating last time out when probably in a race too good for him anyway, there is some top form in there though. He was second to Wyck Hill (favourite for the Racing Plus chase) by half a length before doing everything but win at Doncaster, again beaten half a length. His best novice form came when 15 lengths behind the classy Rocky Creek at Warwick and a reproduction of that will surely have him go close if not win. (4/1)

2:05 Kempton - Irish Saint

This was a tough choice for me between Irish Saint and Vasco Du Ronceray. But we shall side with the former who has the much stronger form to his name to date. He was seen here on debut for Paul Nicholls when absoluting cantering home in a Juvenile Hurdle beating the more than useful Mcvicar by 18 lengths. He wasn't particularly fancied by Paul Nicholls that day but did the job in a very professional and taking style. Irish Saint then stepped up in class when taking on the Nicky Henderson inmate Rolling Star, who is now the Triumph Hurdle favourite. Beaten 2 1/4 lengths that day after the bottomless ground got to him on the run in and climb up the Cheltenham hill. Even in defeat he was 30 lengths clear of the closest rival in Roc D'apsis and could just be a cut about them today. (13/8)

2:40 Kempton - Molotof

I have to come clean, at the start of the year I was wondering why Molotof was being sent over fences as I didn't feel he had the right frame for chasing, how wrong I was. He has proved himself to be a very smart novice and more importantly a slick jumper. He was an impressive winner at Warwick two weeks ago after finishing fourth to Dynaste here over 3 miles in the Feltham. With Barry Geraghty on board and the Henderson string in fine form we will take Molotof to oblige in what looks to be a fairly weak race. A very strong selection. (11/8)

2:55 Newcastle - Our Island

I have never been a big fan of Tim Vaughan's gelding but today he seemingly jumped off the page at his respected odds. There are a few stamina doubts about many of the field today but Our Island has ran well over marathon trips before, most notable 3rd over 4 miles at Exeter on very testing ground. He was also a decent fifth in the Welsh National behind Monbeg dude, beaten 18 lengths that day but it would seem that today is the one they have been waiting for. He struggled last year when in high class novice company but since going handicapping has been much more at home. With no stamina doubts and 3 pounds below his last winning mark he could take some beating here. (10/1)

3:15 Kempton - Forgotten Voice

This could well be a second part of a Henderson and Geraghty double in the Dovecote, this once top class flat performer has equipped himself nicely since switching to hurdles. Winning his first two races very nicely at Bangor and Market Rasen he came here in a handicap hurdle and finished fourth under top weight. He was giving a lot of weight away that day which isn't ideal for a novice in a handicap, but that will have put him straight and he will be much more fit today. with Geraghty getting the leg up we will take him to land a quick fire double.

I will have to apologise for the Racing Plus chase as I cant even force myself to fancy anything, nothing jumps off the page but if I were to have a bet for interest id take Mister Hyde each way at 33s.

4:25 Kempton - Quaddick Lake

If you have watched Quaddick Lake's last two runs and haven't entered him in your notebook then you need to check yourself into the local loony bin. Two runs ago he was 3rd at Cheltenham behind the very progressive Mr Watson, he was very tentatively handled that day and was never closer than he was at the line. I don't even think Nick Scholfield went for the whip on board him that day. Naturally you would think next time out would be a breeze for him, alas that was not the case. Everything was going fine at Huntingdon before he had a rival fall directly in front of him, resulting in him losing 10 lengths off the back of the field. From that point he had no chance but incredibly he stayed on again to come 3rd once more and only 3 1/4 lengths off the winner Art Professor. If there is any justice in the world he will be winning today and with only a two pound rise in the handicap he is taken to win again, with some luck of course. (6/1)

4:40 Newcastle - Papa Caruso

Hopefully by this point we will all be so rich we wont even need a winner, but just in case we will take a chance with Papa Caruso from the Sue Smith yard. Since winning a race at Newcastle when a very heavy backed favourite in 2011 he hasn't won, saying that he has only had four runs since. Last time looked as if there was a bit of a revival coming however when a close up third to Kandari at Catterick. He jumped much better on the whole that day and if continuing his upward curve off a 1 pound lower rating should be very competitive here. (11/2)

That's all for the action today folks, but one more word in that my interview with Shirley Teasdale is still coming at some point next week. I will be posting it on my twitter account when I finally upload it, you can find me on @lukeyboy1325

UPDATE: On the news that Newcastle is off im throwing Picansort into the blog in the last at Lingfield, he is returning to some form and could go well. Being backed in so get on quick. (5/1)

NAP - Molotof
NB - Irish Saint

Happy Punting guys!

Saturday 16th February

Good morning everyone, I hope you enjoyed the Siobhan Miller post earlier this week and are ready for battle today. A real feast to sink our teeth into with top class racing from Ascot, Haydock and Wincanton, featuring the Kingwell Hurdle. Grandouet is a notable absentee from the field, but after a scare on Monday he is we on track for Cheltenham still.

Normal service was resumed last week with 4 winners and two seconds, lets hope to carry that form forward to this week. It was nice to see Wishfull Thinking get more black type to his name after living in the shadows for so long. That was probably his highlight this year unless going for the Ryanair at Cheltenham, it was also good to see Philip Hobbs with a big Saturday winner.

Marching on to this week and a pretty tough day of betting to go with it, the Kingwell is the feature at Wincanton. Christmas Hurdle runner up Raya Star opposes leading Champion hurdle hope Zarkandar, the latter is a warm order to oblige. The main action however comes from Ascot with the Ascot Chase catching the eye. King George runner up Captain Chris is the favourite today with Cue Card, Finian's Rainbow and Somersby all worthy opponents. As we lead up to Cheltenham expect more bubbles to be burst and some enhanced.

Lets begin with this weeks selections:

1:20 Wincanton - Workbench

The first runner in a busy day for Paul Nicholls and its one I have been following since debut. Ruby mentioned after his first bumper that he'd be winning over two miles. However he has taken a while to come into himself but has been improving all the time, notably by results. Last time at Plumpton he was 2nd to Pendra who himself has proved to be a very promising novice. A run of that standard should suffice this afternoon. (5/4)

2:20 Haydock - Kentford Grey Lady

Comes here today off of a top class performance when second in the Cleeve Hurdle behind Oscar Whisky and Reve De Sivola. Before then she was below par when third to Une Artist at Sandown after winning a handicap at the same course. A run like her last will be more than enough today and with her mares allowance she should notch up number 2 for the season. Leighton Aspell takes the ride today. (2/1)

2:40 Ascot - Tatenen

Richard Rowe's gelding is somewhat of an Ascot specialist these days winning here for the past two seasons. He has only run at Cheltenham in the Paddypower this year where he was sixth and well beaten. He will be much straighter for the run and back here should give a bold showing from the front. One of the nagging doubts is whether he stays the 3 miles, but of he gets into a rhythm he could be running them ragged today. (8/1)

2:55 Haydock - Triggerman

A gruelling task here in the National Trial won last year by Giles Cross, preference this year is for Triggerman though. With James Best claiming 3 he carries 9-12 which is a featherweight for this kind of race. Its also a stone less than Monbeg Dude and almost two stones less than Teaforthree. In receipt of this much weight and his stamina in no doubt he could well prove value here. He was a running on third in the Welsh National and was a close up fourth in the Bet365 Gold Cup. As long as his jumping holds up this afternoon he will prove more than good enough to win. (12/1)

3:05 Wincanton - Swincombe Stone

Anthony Honeyball's first time hurdler is todays NAP, and you may think somewhat of a weird one. He entered my notebook after I saw him win his bumper at Fontwell in very taking style. He was then off for a while before reappearing at Huntingdon when staying on under a softer ride. He is stepped up markedly in trip here which looks ideal for him and with race fitness on his side he will take all the beating. Very strong preference this afternoon. (9/2)

3:15 Ascot - The Bear Trap + Kuilsriver

In truth this was a hard race to make a selection, it would be nice for General Miller to win on his return. But we will take a chance with The Bear Trap for Rebecca Curtis and Tony McCoy. Two reasons for good confidence in this one in that the Champ does 10-4 here which is rare for him. He was doing a pound lower when he won on Mr Watson at Cheltenham on trials day. The second reason being that he is only one of two rides for McCoy today which is even more rare for a Saturday. The horse himself though is very progressive after an easy win at Ffos Las first up this season. He was then narrowly denied at the track last time, he heads to Ascot from Wales with full confidence today. (10/3) one more quick each way mention is Kuilsriver who I am very fond of, he is ultra consistent and off a fly weight here could go well at a price. (28/1)

3:25 Haydock - Creepy

Martin Keighley's gelding really impressed me when behind Coneygree at Cheltenham travelling well for a long way. Horses alot better than todays opposition quickened away from him but he stuck to his task. Before then he had finished a promising fourth in a competitive bumper also at Cheltenham. On his only other run he beat some useful types in a Fontwell bumper and is very progressive. It would appear connections have found a nice opening for him today and should break his maiden tag over hurdles. (7/2)

3:50 Ascot - Somersby

The second Ascot specialist in the blog this week in Somersby who reappeared at Trials Day. He proved no match for Sprinter Sacre that day and lack of race fitness Lost him 2nd place to Mad Moose. This time he will be spot on for the run and this trip round Ascot is perfect for him. Lst year he outbattled todays Rival Finian's Rainbow in the Victor Chandler, again today he should have his number. Though its an ultra competitive race Somersby has proven time and time again he is top class. Definitely one for the placepot and will definitely give you a run for your money. (5/1)

4:25 Ascot - River Maigue

In truth this race is a match, who else could it be between other than Nicky Henderson and Paul Nicholls. The youngster Far West represents the champion trainer and River Maigue for Nicky Henderson. The latter gives 9 pounds to his rival today but is very progressive and looks a lot stronger than Far West. In my mind he simply has too much speed for his rival today as well which should put him well on top. It should be noted that River Maigue is very prominent in the Supreme betting, but Far West this week has drifted in the Triumph betting. River Maigue to end our day on a high. (11/8)

NAP - Swincombe Stone
NB - Creepy

One last note that there should be another interview up this week as Shirley Teasdale has kindly agreed to talk with me.

Happy Punting this week guys, good luck

Siobhan Miller - A Northen Dream

Siobhan Miller, maybe not yet a household name like Frankie Dettori or AP McCoy, but is definitely a young jockey going places. In only a handful of rides she has impressed with her horsemanship and strength, during that time showing herself no slouch when taking on the boys. But who is Siobhan Miller? Hopefully after this article you will be able to answer that for yourself, as we look over how she got to here and what the future holds.

Miller grew up over the border in Scotland, in a town called Bishopbriggs, East Dunbartonshire. As a girl she dreamt of working in fashion, a hobby she continues to this day, but as she grew older her interest in horse racing grew.

Before she turned her attention to racing she competed in Show Jumping at an affiliated level through ponies. This lasted for a year in which she competed in the pony club games still when only a child. It was after all this her focus changed to the real love of her life and what will one day become a career for her.

This is where it all began, like many jockeys in the sport today her roots are from pony racing. It was after this she found her inspiration within the sport, a certain Hayley Turner who herself was just catching the public's eye. Things were then taken to the next level and the real start of Miller's career.

This leads to the next chapter of her life when attending the Northern Racing College in Doncaster, the dream was in action. Things were about to pick up in a big way when she earned her first job in racing at Park House Stables, home of 2003 Oaks winning trainer Andrew Balding. During her time at the yard Miller was rewarded with her first ride, not for Andrew Balding but for Jamie Poulton.

On August 19th 2011 at Salisbury the public were introduced to Siobhan Miller in an Amateur Ladies race. Her mount that day was a grey 4 year old mare by the name of Push Me who at the time had two wins to her name. Miller was prominent early and as others around her fell away she made her move and hit the front 3 furlongs out. She led until just over a furlong out when tiring and edging left, eventually fading to finish fifth in a strung out field. That was her only ride aboard the mare. After a year with Andrew Balding she moved over to her current stable of David Simcock in Newmarket where she became an apprentice.

Watch her first ever ride here - http://www.sportinglife.com/racing/results/19-08-2011/salisbury/result/453521/savills-lady-riders-handicap-for-lady-amateur-riders/video

It was there at Simcock's yard Miller found the man of her dreams, he came in the form of the classy grey Glass Office. Since then she has looked after and become inseparable with him without riding him on the track yet. In September he won the Sirenia Stakes at Kempton under Jim Crowley leaving Miller overjoyed. But it is her riding that has caught my eye.

Since joining the Simcock yard Siobhan Miller has earned two regular rides the first of which being Dixie Gwalia. Partnering him a total of 8 times to date, coming placed on 3 occasions and finishing worse than 6th just once. It is her more recent partnership with the yard's Hierarch whom she has ridden only 4 times but to good effect. The last two times they have seen the track together (at Kempton and Lingfield) they have been touched off and settled for second. Most recently denied by a neck, beaten by Jack My Boy at Lingfield when up in the box seat most of the race.

Watch her most recent ride -http://www.sportinglife.com/racing/results/31-01-2013/lingfield-park/result/545875/follow-us-on-twitter-at-lingfieldpark-apprentice-handicap/video

Hierarch again ran today (5th February) at Wolverhampton in which he managed third, this run is best forgotten though. On the turn for home Miller was poised to strike before being broadsided leaving Hierarch unbalanced. She managed to get him running on again and he stayed on for a place late in the day. Its debatable but in my mind Hierarch looks more of a Lingfield styled horse and is definitely one to follow.

This leads us to the current day, what does the future hold for a 22 year old Siobhan Miller? Well unfortunately I cant see into the future, but I can predict that if she keeps working as hard as she has been to get here, Hayley Turner has a real rival on her hands. I asked Miss Miller what her ambitions and dreams are for her career, nobody says it better than herself. 'To become a successful jockey, internationally too. I would love to be the inspiration for young girls like Hayley Turner was for me coming Into the game.'

At this time I would like to take the chance to thank the lovely Siobhan Miller for helping me write this. I would 100% recommend following her on twitter, you can find her at @Shiv_Miller, if you have enjoyed this article drop by my page and say hi, @Lukeyboy1325. I will leave you with a question and answer session I shared with Siobhan and once again thank her.

> Favourite Racecourse? Ascot, but I'm sure wherever I have my first winner will be my new fav!
> Favourite Racehorse of all time? Sea the stars, as I watched him win the Guineas and had a Tenner on him (I wasn't a jockey then!)
> Favourite Racehorse running now? Glass office, I rode and looked after him since day one, he's my main man!
> Funniest guy/girl in the jockey room? Shirley Teasdale , always cracks a joke !
> Racing idol? Hayley Turner!
> Flat or Jumps? Flat of course! Although always love watching the big jump meetings!
> Royal Ascot or Cheltenham Festival? Have to be royal ascot!
> Do you have a party trick you are willing to share? Not a trick as such, but I'm very well known for falling over, can not walk in heels, even when sober!
> If I were to be generous and give you a tenner for one horse at Cheltenham, who would it go on? Long run! For some reason I love that horse.
> If you had the chance to ride any horse in all its races next season who would it be and why? Definitely via glory. He means a lot to the yard, and would be great to have plenty of opportunities to snatch up a win on him!
> Racing UK or Attheraces? Oh I can't choose, I'm forever flicking between the two!
> If you weren't a jockey what would you be? Fashion designer. Addicted to fashion, and was planning to go study it at college before I got into racing.
> Matt Chapman or Nick Luck? Matt chapman yeehaaaaaa
> Strictly or X Factor? Xfactor. Went on a few dates with a contestant.0, but he who shall not be named!! Haha
> Ryan Moore or Frankie Dettori? Ryan moore's riding is inspirational but Frankie is such a part in racing , and the only person who gets me star struck in the weighing room!
> Favourite sport other than Horse Racing? American bull riding, love watching it!
> First Car? Fiat punto!
> Favourite Band? Mumford and sons.
> Favourite Song? Empire State of mind, love it !
> Would you rather ride a winner at Royal Ascot, the Breeders Cup or the Dubai Carnival? Breeders cup as it is much more international fields, but I'd settle for a winner at any!
> Preferred drink on a night out? Disaronno & coke!
> And finally, as always, who is the longest in the shower? Have to be myself, oops! And I love to have a good sing a long in there too!!
> Nominate a jockey who I should next focus on? Shirley Teasdale!

Thank you very much for reading, hopefully this is the first of many like this, next on the list Shirley Teasdale, hopefully.

Thank you for reading

Betfair Hurdle Day

Morning Racing fans, A huge day of racing ahead of us with the betfair hurdle being the highlight. Leopardstown also host a top class card with Flemenstar and Sir Des Champs clashing horns once again. Stamina doubts surround Peter Casey's gelding whereas the latter must jump better to win. There is also a Gold Cup trial at Newbury with Silviniaco Conti a hot favourite for the Denman Chase. One thing is for certain, after today a few Cheltenham Festival credentials will be tarnished and some boosted. Firstly a review of last week.

It wasnt the best of blogs last week, however it would have been a completely different story if Third Intention hadn't idled to be caught in the final strides. We stilled managed to get the reverse forecast with Captain Conan which paid just over 5/1 though. Third Intention remains a good hope for the Jewson in March, you would think he would have some kind of headgear on at Cheltenham which would help no end. That was all there was to write home about last week.

Onto some more exciting news, I have recently conducted an interview with an jockey to put on here for you guys. It should be up next week and hopefully it will be the first in a series.

On Monday the racing world was put in shock when a routine prep for the Champion hurdle resulted in Darlan losing his life. A last hurdle fall upsides Rock on Ruby when coming to win ended in tragedy as he and McCoy hit the deck. Heart breakingly only one returned to their feet, the champ was fine but stood himself down for the day. The only other thing I have to say on the matter is shame on anyone who blamed Tony McCoy for the accident. It was in no way his fault and im afraid they are just talking through their pockets. Things like this really separate the Gamblers from the real racing people in life.

But on that sad note we must continue with this weeks racing.

12:55 Warwick - Open Day

McCoy only has two rides at Warwick before getting in his helicopter and flying off to Newbury. Open Day is the first of these two, he went off the boil since winning a novice hurdle in 2010 at Sandown but has recently found form again. He recorded his first win since then at Leicester back in November when beating some useful types. Last time out however he was put well in his place by Dark Lover who is highly thought of by Paul Nicholls. He himself runs in the Betfair hurdle later on and the Nicholls yard was firing at the time. Open Day was comfortably ahead of Dan Breen and this looks a weaker race. (9/2) an each way selection for the race is the useful Red Inca for Brian Ellison's yard (11/1) and we will take the reverse forecast once again.

1:30 Warwick - Ma Filleule

The Champ's second mount at Warwick comes in the shape of Nicky Henderson's Ma Filleule, who is improving with every run. She has only had 3 runs in England winning one and finishing second in the other two, she also has two wins to her name in France. One of the big advantages in this race however is that she receives 5 pounds from most of her main rivals today. With the Henderson team in great form we will take Ma Filleule to complete the double for Tony McCoy. (7/2)

1:40 Uttoxeter - Stow

When I first saw this race my jaw dropped to see Stow running in a selling race. It is one of the better sellers you will see but with Patrick Corbett's claim Stow gets 12 pounds from his two main rivals. He has been running against much better opposition over the past few years and dips his toe in this class for the first time. He simply cant be ignored and looks a really good bet today considering the circumstances. (No Price yet)

1:50 Newbury - Captain Sunshine

I think im the only person in the country who has kept faith with Captain Sunshine this year. But last time he was staying on very strongly when coming down at the last in the Lanzarote. He was certainly booked for a place that day and its not out of the equation that he would have won the race. He 'refused' to race at Exeter which I blamed the starter for that as he didnt show any reluctance. However last time he looked to have his quirks at the start with a handler down with him. He is well worth a chance on his step up to 3 miles today as realistically it was always going to be his trip. (9/1)

2:25 Newbury - Mail De Bievre

Tom George hasnt been discreet with what he thinks about Mail De Bievre outlining him as a Gold Cup contender. Back in 2008/09 he was with Alan King winning a hurdle race at Exeter, in France it is Chasing in which he has earned his reputation. Along with that he earned a rating of 160 and with the weight received from Silviniaco Conti he is 2 pounds behind him. If fully wound up for this race which I suspect he will be as he was entered for a couple of other races. He is too good of a price to ignore with others having chinks in their armour, a solid each way bet. (8/1)

3:00 Newbury - Wishfull Thinking

This years Game Spirit fell apart at the seams when Simonsig was declared as a non runner. But at the same time it gives Wishfull thinking a fantastic chance to land another valuable 2 mile chase. There are many potential improvers, mostly Shooters Wood who is the choice of Ruby Walsh. But Wishfull Thinking looks clear of those and is guaranteed to go on the ground. This could be a big race win for Phillip Hobbs and Richard Johnson. (10/3)

3:15 Warwick - Dream Again Boys

Back to Warwick now for Maurice Linehan's mount Dream Again Boys. Without Linehan's claim he would be top weight, instead he carries 11-7 which makes his task one heck of a lot easier. It also means he isnt giving much weight away all throughout the field. He won at this time of year in 2012, which was also the only time Linehan has ridden him. But he won most recently last time out at Ffos Las under AP very easily, the money was down for him that day and he should carry it forward here. An added bonus is that Linehan rides Warwick particularly well which is a bonus in a race of this type. (6/1)

3:35 Newbury - Punjabi

The 2009 Champion Hurdle winner turns up here after a good comeback run in the Christmas hurdle. His Reappearance was the typical run after a long lay off, travels well for a long way and then faded quickly. Sensibly Barry Geraghty looked after him and let him come home in his own time. He will be much straighter for that run and off a rating of 145 he looks a steal, physically however he runs off of 140 with Jeremiah McGrath's claim. Rewind to 2009 before his injury and he is rated 166 meaning he is thrown in today off an easy rating. On Attheraces Barry Geraghty said 'there was still plenty of spark about him' which is good enough for me and he gets the nod today. (22/1)

4:10 Newbury - Hadrian's Approach

The appeal of this race will be around Unioniste stepping up to 3 miles for the first time, but preference is for Hadrian's Approach. Nicky Henderson's charge was second to Dynaste, but at Kempton in the Feltham. Newbury should be much more to his liking as he is a big lump of a horse that wouldnt have liked the speed of Kempton. The wide Galloping track of Newbury will be much more up his street and his proven stamina could be put into effect. His one visit to Newbury ended in a fall when well in contention and going well. That was one of the strongest Novice chases of this year so the form of it must be taken strongly. It helps that the stable really fancy this one tomorrow also, he takes the choice. (7/2)

4:25 Warwick - Chiberta King

The last choice of the day is also the NAP of the day with Andrew Balding's ex top class flat horse Chiberta King. He goes left handed again after winning nicely at Newbury last time out, there was plenty to like about that victory, especially his improved jumping. His first two starts at Ascot resulted in him jumping severely out to his left and throwing races away. If he had been started out left handed, he could well be unbeaten. Paddy Brennan comes over from Newbury for the one ride and it should be a winning one.

NAP - Chiberta King
NB - Stow

Aaaaaaaaand breathe! Hope you enjoyed todays read, good luck to everyone if you have a bet. Enjoy your weekend guys.

Happy Punting!

Sandown and Ffos Las 2nd February

Good Morning everybody, I hope we all slept well and are ready for a Saturday of racing. Today we race at Ffos Las, Sandown and Wetherby over jumps and Lingfield on the Polytrack. Focus however is at Sandown and Great Britain's newest racecourse Ffos Las.

The highlight of the Sandown card was expected to be the Contenders Hurdle won in the past by Binocular. JP McManus had the hot favourite for the race this year in Darlan, however the Hurdle course is waterlogged. For that reason Sandown host an all chase card featuring the Scilly Isles Novices Chase. This looks a bit more simple than driving round the same named roundabout just down the road from the course. I say this as Captain Conan is a warm order on his step up in trip and faces only three rivals for this task.

But before we start on today lets reminisce from last week. We managed to find three winners including the NAP in Katenko and the NB in Mr Watson. They were both 5/1 but we then struck gold when Vino Griego won by 19 lengths at 25/1. If you had combined these in a treble you would have been looking at, to my maths a 625/1 treble. Lets hope for something as good as that this week.

One last thing, I was going to put Pique Sous up as an ante post selection for the Supreme at 25/1. He bolted up at Dundalk last night in his prep run, he is now a best priced 20/1 which is still a very good price if you can get it. Another reason for this other than his Champion bumper 3rd is the fact it looks a very weak Supreme this year. Very few look top class but Pique Sous has beaten most of them from the Irish side at some point in his career. River Maigue and My Tent Or Yours look the biggest dangers right now but Pique Sous cant be ignored now even at 20/1.

Without further ado lets begin with this weeks action.

1:50 Sandown - Toubab

Ruby Walsh is a jockey that rides sandown particularly well and he comes here for 2 rides today. The first of which is the strong travelling Toubab who was beaten only 13 lengths by Sprinter Sacre last season at Aintree. This was after being bought down in the Grand Annual 4 out when still going well. He has run just once this season though when behind William's Wishes and Champion Court at Ascot. The form of that race is holding up quite nicely, with the winner considered good enough for the Queen Mother before injury struck. Champion Court is also one of the main protagonists in the Ryanair market and is my fancy for the race. Toubab however takes a slight dip in class here and off a pound lower rating can take our opener. (10/3)

2:05 Ffos Las - The Romford Pele

Over to Wales now and we have the Welsh Champion Hurdle which of course is now a Handicap over 2 and a half miles. That means no Oscar Whiskey this year, Tanerko Emery sports the Dai Walters silks instead. Preference however is for Rebecca Curtis' The Romford Pele who was 7th in last years Champion Bumper. However this year he is a fast improving Novice hurdler winning 2 out of 4 novice hurdles. His second run was 3 lengths behind Court Minstrel who is very highly thought of by connections. Since then he has won two novice hurdles at Taunton and Chepstow, the latter run takes the eye though. That was the first time he has tackled really heavy ground and he seemed to love it beating Sin Bin by 2 lengths. Patrick Corbett takes 7 pounds off today resulting in him Carrying well under 10 stone. For them reasons we will take him to progress again here and land the spoils. (10/1)

2.25 Sandown - Third Intention

Many people think that this looks a shoe in for Captain Conan at 4/9 on his first try at 2 and a half miles. However Third Intention is more than good enough to ruffle a few feathers and is grossly overpriced. He is still a maiden after four attempts over fence and has been beaten 8 lengths by Captain Conan twice. That was over 2 miles which these days for him is on the sharp side, he flew up the hill to grab third in the Henry VIII here at Sandown. This resulted in him stepping straight up to 3 miles in the Feltham at Kempton behind Dynaste. He matched the RSA favourite for a long time there before Dynaste showed his class. 2 and half miles is much more to his liking and I have been waiting for him to run over it all season. One last mention is that he won the National Spirit hurdle over this trip in an absolute canter. He is well worth a shot today and a reverse forecast with Captain Conan. (14/1)

2:40 Ffos Las - Makethe Mostofnow

Evan Williams gelding was gifted his first chase by Keppols Hill who made a horrific mistake at the last fence. Before then he was well behind but kept to his task well before being beaten soundly at Newbury. Everything came out of the Newbury race and franked the form and it remains one of the stronger Novice chases of the year. He then went to Lingfield where he hated the course and was never travelling well, that run is best forgotten. He now enters handicaps off a low weight which was always going to be his game. Its an added bonus that he can begin handicapping at his beloved Ffos Las where he is a perfect four from four. The flat Wales course suits him as he is a lovely big Galloping horse which was his downfall at Fontwell and Lingfield. He was also travelling well when in contention and bought down at Aintree last year in the Sefton. He could well prove popular in the market today and looks a really good each way price. (14/1)

3:00 Sandown - Mad Max

For an 11 year old Mad Max is pretty lightly raced, only visiting the racecourse a total of 17 times. He has won 6 of those, the last of them coming in 2010 but tries his hand in a Veterans' chase here. This is a big step down in class from running behind the likes of Master Minded and Sizing Europe. The ground wont be a problem here and he is usually a sound jumper to meet the demands of the Esher track. One more added bonus is the return of Barry Geraghty who has partnered him on 3 of his 6 victories. In a pretty weak race we will side with Mad Max to return to winning ways. (7/1)

3:35 Sandown - Keppols Hill

Ruby gets the leg up on his second ride of the day with novice Keppols Hill who will be in heaven today. If there was a race over 10 miles he would be the winner of it down to guts and extreme stamina. Viking Blond will ensure there is no hanging around today and I would expect Keppols Hill to be picking them off one by one. The biggest fear would be his jumping as he is prone to the odd race ending mistake, saying that he was much better last time. Should complete a Ruby Walsh double at Sandown. (2/1)

3:45 Ffos Las - Consigliere

Consigliere is an old favourite of mine and is always one to make a note of when the going gets like this. He is known for his trade as a chaser and after his win last time at Ayr he reverts to hurdles. With Kieron Edgar's claim he is 17 pounds lower over hurdles than fences and that must be noted. He won last time off 138 which is as good as he is really but could be contesting bigger races later this season. He could well hose up today and is preferred to others, Consigliere the choice. (3/1)

NAP - Mad Max
NB - Keppols Hill

Lets hope for another week like the last, its also worth noting that Sue Smith has a few nice runners up at Wetherby that are well worth checking out.

Happy Punting