Total Pageviews

Friday 25 January 2013

Festival Trials Day

Good Morning everybody, I trust you all slept well and werent too excited by the prospect of jumps racing returning. We have already lost the meeting at Doncaster, which is particularly annoying to me as Grandouet misses out on his prep for March. I suspect he will now go to the Morebattle hurdle up at Kelso won last year by Simonsig for the same stable.

But there are more trials at Prestbury Park today with the Cleeve Hurdle, featuring Oscar Whisky returning to three miles. He takes on long walk winner Reve De Sivola and Paul Nicholls' Kauto Stone. More importantly the 2010 Gold Cup winner returns in the Argento, of course I speak of Imperial Commander. If he were to get his head in front today there will be the biggest cheer at Cheltenham until March.

One last thing is an apology, there was no blog last week, this was a mix of two reasons, firstly that the racing was awful. Only the all weather in action due to the snow and frost, but the main reason was because I was camping. I l know, who goes camping in the winter time? Canadians apparently, but despite a little burn mark on my hand from the campfire im back in one piece.

But if it is ok with you guys, we will leave my drunken exploits behind us and focus on some racing. Here we go!

12:10 Cheltenham - Irish Saint

The first race can go to the Champion trainer who saddles the very impressive Kempton winner Irish Saint. He could hardly have been more taking that day, dealing out an 18 length victory to Mcvicar. Nicholls reported him to not be fully wound up for that race, if he has improved for the run we could be in for a real treat. He faces worthy opponents however in Nicky Henderson's 'Rolling Star' and Jonjo's 'Last Shadow'. We will take Irish Saint to make it 2 from 2 in England for our opener on trials day though. (6/4)

12:40 Cheltenham - Vino Griego

Gary Moore's runners always have to be respected here, and Vino Griego was fourth at the festival two years ago behind Divers. He has a tendency to be a bit hit and miss, but if you catch him on a going day then he can make his price look silly. today could well be one of those ocassions, at Ascot his race ended before it got going when he departed at the 2nd fence. But since he has run a great race at Plumpton behind Salden Licht and ahead of Vulcanite. That run throws him in with a real chance here and is a more than interesting each way proposition. (16/1)

1:15 Cheltenham - Katenko

Katenko is actually my Dark horse for the Gold Cup come March, he is around 50/1 for that race. Today is an easier task, he entered my reckonings when winning very well at Sandown. He looked that day as if he has bags of room for improvement, putting Johns Spirit and the reopposing Fruity O'Rooney well in their place. This is only his 3rd chase and fourth start in England, his only other chase he was runner up to Wyck Hill (another Gold Cup entrant). But off a mark of 147 this exciting young strapping chaser simply cant be ignored. Landing him the burden of being today's NAP. (5/1)

1:50 Cheltenham - Somersby

Somersby has his first run for Mick Channon today and while he is unlikely to ruffle the feathers of Sprinter Sacre, he is a tasty each way price. He is also 7/4 in the betting without Sprinter Sacre behind only Sanctuaire whom he aims to reverse Sandown form. I will quietly be cheering Sanctuaire on today but will wait for Cheltenham and Better ground to back him. Somersby won this race last year when at its usual track of Ascot, obviously that was abandoned, hence our predicament today. His stamina may just help him out in todays ground and id be surprised were he to be out of the placings. (12/1)

2:25 Cheltenham - Imperial Commander

News is beginning to come that Tidal Bay is a non runner today, if there is any truth to that then the race loses some of its gloss. But there are questions over most of the other runners today, so we take a chance on Imperial Commander. If he is fit enough and retains his ability then he should take some beating on his belated return from injury. Paddy Brennan retains the ride of course which is nothing but a positive, he knows the horse inside out and you will do well to find a better jockey riding. A tentative vote goes towards the 2010 Gold Cup hero today. (6/1)

3:00 Cheltenham - Coneygree

Mark Bradstock's gelding is one of the Cheltenham hot pots right now after his 2 wins here, one of which all but over course and distance. He is being aimed for the 3 mile Albert Bartlett however, today is only two and a half miles. He probably lacks a few gears but he will never stop running and today that could be just what the doctor ordered. Also The New One in my mind is a bit overrated, no disrespect meant to him but today will be his biggest test to date and is well worth opposing. Coneygree the selection though. (5/2)

3:35 Cheltenham - Kauto Stone

A very intriguing runner here for the Champion trainer in that Kauto Stone steps down to hurdles today. This could prove to be an inspired move as Kauto Stone has been prone to make a few mistakes. There is a Paul Nicholls horse that went from Chasing to Hurdling a few years back, but the name escapes me.... Nope cant remember, Big something? Of course I jest. But Kauto stone could prove a nice priced winner getting 8 pounds from the top two here, he is almost an each way price. Could well just have slipped under the radar here. (15/2)

4:10 Cheltenham - Mr Watson

If you are anywhere near the course today and you hear something that sounds like an earthquake, dont be alarmed, it will be Tony McCoy's Stomach. He has fasted himself down to 10-3 for this ride here today, which I am informed is his lowest weight for 12 months. The champ rarely gets himself down to a weight this low, but when he does they rarely disappoint. Mr Watson was bought for £215,000 at the Cheltenham sales and settled much better in the hood at Plumpton last time when winning. Looks a real solid bet. (5/1)

NAP - Katenko
NB - Mr Watson

Lets hope for a good day and line our pockets on the build up to the Festival in March. Personally I have booked my flights back for the 5th March, feel free to greet me at the airport.

Happy Punting guys!

Monday 21 January 2013

Champion Hurdle 2013 Preview

Stan James Champion Hurdle - Grandouet

The Champion Hurdle this year has some odd factors to it, yet promises to be the best race of the festival potentially. The first odd factor is Cotton Mill's gamble after being made Pricewise today, he is now best price 25/1. Personally 100/1 wouldnt interest me but opinions are there to be made wrong.

The other main factor is that Darlan is 7/2. Im not disrespecting his chance but after his Christmas hurdle romp he shortened significantly. Obviously to the eye he was very impressive that day, however re-watch the race and they went an absolute crawl throughout, ending in a sprint finish. Now take a look at the horses he beat, Cinders and Ashes, Raya Star, Dodging Bullets, countrywide flame and the returning Punjabi. Now, all of them will get further without a doubt, maybe with the exception of Punjabi who is back from injury. But on that day it was just a case of, who is the fastest horse? Without a doubt that is Darlan. Rock on Ruby probably isnt a 2 miler round Kempton, he was second in that race last season. He then won the Champion, mainly because 2 miles round Cheltenham takes more stamina than speed, especially late on. That brings the others well into the mix.

Hurricane Fly is also 7/2 after his 2 wins in Ireland, one of which he was left all alone at the last when the late Go Native fell when challenging. Last time out however was the Hurricane Fly we know and love, yet again though, how many Champion Hurdle class horses did he beat? The answer is a resounding, none. Not taking anything from the style of his win, he will probably need more come Cheltenham time, and could easily take the race like in 2011.

The strongest form of the race comes from the International hurdle, Zarkandar was getting 4 pounds from Rock on Ruby and Grandouet. The former being the returning reigning Champion Hurdler, and the latter making his long awaited reappearance. Even though the result went Zarkandars way, the other two looked to need it badly. Grandouet came out of the race well after a fantastic effort going down by two lengths. Obviously in the Champion they will both be 4 pounds better off and Nicky Henderson's inmate should reverse the placings.

Grandouet is the Ante Post Selection, i'm praying he stays fit this year after last year picking up an annoying niggle just before Cheltenham. That meant he couldnt take part in the race, it could well be a blessing in disguise however meaning he is fresh and had another year to mature. That last point could be vital as he was a very slow maturing horse that only really came into himself last year. (7/1)

Saturday 12 January 2013

Lanzarote Hurdle Day

First of all I must apologise as this blog is up pretty late this week, its my birthday on Sunday and was out for a meal. I may have misunderstood the size of the burger before it came out so I'd be putting up overweight today. However the lovely waitresses in small bits of fabric made it worth it... And the company of course!

But to more pressing matters, the racing world suffered devastation when Champion Hurdle winner Katchit passed away from Colic this week. On his day there was no tougher horse, especially up the Cheltenham hill. They say a bee has a body shape of one that should make it impossible to fly, but they of course can. Well Katchit was of the size where being a National Hunt horse should have been impossible. He was barely bigger than the hurdles, but what he lacked in size he made up for with heart, guts and determination. R.I.P Katchit.

Onto this weeks racing on a sour note then, but lets try and brighten our day with some strong selections to follow.

1:30 Kempton - Westaway

He was knocking on the door last time after a promising fifth first time out at Newbury. He was Behind the improving Ballytober at Ascot who looks to be shaping into a very smart peformer, second to him is no bad thing. We are just beginning to get some good ground back and that should help make his claims as he seems to tire in more testing ground late on. One last plus is that the David Arbuthnot yard are hitting some form as of late, but with 8 runners (3 places) Westaway looks a fantastic each way proposition. (16/1)

2:05 Kempton - Cruchain

There are a few reasons for putting up Dai Burchell's, Cruchain today, the first of which being he was last years winner off 8 pounds higher. Since then he has won at Cheltenham off a rating of 125, recent efforts however have seen him slip to a lowly 110. There are excuses for that in the sense that he is a better ground horse, so the drying ground here will help no end. The most pressing matter for me though is that he always runs a blinder round here. Even when out of form he can turn in a good effort, just like last year when winning. Last times 3rd showed a return to form was imminent and a further 2 pound drop will help no end. (6/1)

2:25 Warwick - Holywell

We venture over to Warwick for the first big field handicap hurdle today and Jonjo O'Neill is taken to land the spoils. Not with the Tony McCoy ridden Storm Survivor though, instead we go with Holywell. Maurice Linehan takes the ride the week after losing his 7 pound claim last week aboard Storm Survivor. Jonjo is usually pretty selective over what horses he puts Mr Linehan on to use his claim to full effect. So his ride here on Holywell must be taken down and noted. The horse in himself is improving all the time just struggling to pass the post in front, coming in 2nd on the last three outings he could take some beating today. (7/1)

2:40 Kempton - Captain Sunshine

A horse that has required a bit of patience this year after 'refusing' at Exeter second time out. He has also turned in two useful performances in Cheltenham handicaps off a mark of 134. He goes today off of 132 and should prove to be alot better than that mark and may even contest graded races in the not so distant future. A flat out gallop would suit this one down to the ground and Richie Mclernon on Board is a positive. (14/1)

3:15 Kempton - Baile Anrai

Onto todays strongest bet of the day in Ian Williams second season chaser Baile Anrai. Last year he was a useful novice landing events at Market Rasen, Leicester and Towcester. His best run was coming at Ascot however when he fell 3 out when well in contention and travelling powerfully. Silviniaco Conti, Bobs Worth and Invictus were in the field and he was travelling just as well as them. Over hurdles he was useful, finishing 6 lengths behind Fingal Bay at Chepstow. He made a below average return as Ascot behind Roberto Goldback, that would have blown away the cobwebs and he should go well here today. (10/1)

NAP - Baile Anrai
Nb - Cruchain

An each way lucky 31 would pay handsomely and hopefully some nice returns come from it.

Happy Punting

Friday 4 January 2013

Welsh National Day

Good Morning/Afternoon/Evening depending on where you are in the world. I again find myself starting this weeks blog on the skytrain and fear i am becoming 'that guy'. You know the kind that tries to sit there with his ipad or laptop and draw attention to himself. The kind you want to hit round the face with whatever device he uses. Alas i shall have to soldier on through my fears and get to writing about all things equine today. But first a small recap.

last week our NAP and nb both won providing us with a nice double in 10 minutes, both looking horses to follow in Zuzka and Taquin Du Seuil. A third selection visited the winners enclosure in the last at Newbury with Chatterbox, who looked very impressive and should build on that performance. We almost made it 4 winners but for Fill The Power to be just touched off at Doncaster. We managed to line our wallets and purses with a bit of money for our night out and we march on to this week.

The centre of attention is the rescheduled Welsh National meeting at Chepstow. Teaforthree is the first really well back favourite in the race in years at 3/1 for Rebecca Curtis and Tony McCoy. But Sandown offer a very good supporting card as they have the 2013 running of the Tolworth hurdle featuring the classy flat recruit Poet for Clive Cox. Without further ado lets crack on with the weeks action and a placepot at Sandown.

12:45 Sandown - Kentford Grey Lady

Emma Lavelle's mare scored in pretty nice style last time under a huge weight over course and distance. She may have been beaten that day but for justazippy falling when upsides at the last. However she went on to score in resolute fashion and today should be no different. She gets weight from her main rivals, receiving 8 pounds from Une Artiste, Alasi and last years winner Kells Belle. The ground wont be an issue with her being a previous winner on testing ground including last time out. Despite her short odds she should get favourite backers off to a nice start and be the first in many multiples. (10/11)

1:15 Sandown - Angelot Du Berlais

Dr Richard Newland's newcomer is of huge interest here, having his first run since coming over from France. In his homeland he showed a liking for testing ground without winning, he did however run some promising races. Im more interested in his hurdling relatives however, showing there could be more to come over hurdles. He is related (through Afreen) to Champion Hurdle third Afsoun and the more than useful dual purpose performer Afrad. If he is anything like those two then he could well take some beating here. The top two have also both been beating and could well be vulnerable again giving weight away to the girls. (8/1)

1:35 Chepstow - Swnymor

Swnymor was mighty impressive at Newbury on debut for Tim Vaughan and it really does seem that the sky is the limit for him. He handed out a 11 length pounding to the useful Amoralist for Nicky Henderson, barely breaking sweat in doing so. This is a much stiffer assignment however, Paul Nicholls thinks the world of his representative Caid Du Berlais. John Ferguson also plays his cards with the unbeaten Ruacana. If Swnymor builds on his hurdling debut however, it will take a top class horse to beat him and we have a really good race in store. (7/2)

1:50 Sandown - King Edmund

Chris Gordon probably has the most exposed runner in the whole field here in King Edmund with today being his 33rd run. He takes on younger horses but has been well in himself this year in Handicaps without winning, he has come 2nd on his last 3 runs and is due his time in the sun. Last time he was behind only the once top class and brave front runner Marodima at Fontwell. He is up 2 pounds for that effort but likes it here and should go well. (7/1)

2:25 Sandown - Poet

As mentioned before, Poet is the potential class act of the race with a very impressive hurdling debut at Newbury under his belt. Rated 110 on the flat (116 at his highest) he frequently contested top flat races and was far from disgraced. Right after his Newbury race I named this as a race that would be perfect for him and it would seem im not far off. The ground will aid him rather than hinder him, and he may get to dominate this small field and steal it from the front. (7/2)

3:00 Sandown - Lord of the House

Lord Of The House won at Folkestone on really testing ground so todays ground will be no problem at all. He is still a very lightly raced horse and after his first win there could be alot more to come from his featherweight. He is two pounds out of the Handicap carrying 10 stone but Gavin Sheehan takes off a further 5 pounds. Off that weight on this ground makes him very interesting and it also doesnt look the strongest race so is well worth an each way shout and this race could be the placepot destroyer. (12/1)

3:20 Chepstow - Soll

Jo Hughes gave a glowing report of the ex Willie Mullins inmate earlier this week and the giant horse looks tailor made for a race like this. He was running well in the national hunt chase a Cheltenham before being bought down by Allee Garde. Last time out he also ran a blinder in the Hennessy before being outpaced by top class horses. This race is much more to his stamina built self and the ground poses no problem whatsoever. Should go well and is a very strong each way bet. (12/1)

3:40 Sandown - Fruity O'Rooney

With Across The Bay going to Chepstow instead of here, Gary Moore's tough front runner should take some beating. He was runner up at the Festival last year and ran his heart out in the Hennessy last time. I have been told a change of tactics may be tried today, he wont fight for the lead but instead drop in if challenged. This is coming from the idea that he is using too much energy early on in his races. Though its a competitive race today, Fruity O'Rooney could take all the beating. Railway Dillon is the big danger. (9/1)

NAP - Poet and Kentford Grey lady double
Nb - Swnymor

Happy Punting today guys