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Friday 4 January 2013

Welsh National Day

Good Morning/Afternoon/Evening depending on where you are in the world. I again find myself starting this weeks blog on the skytrain and fear i am becoming 'that guy'. You know the kind that tries to sit there with his ipad or laptop and draw attention to himself. The kind you want to hit round the face with whatever device he uses. Alas i shall have to soldier on through my fears and get to writing about all things equine today. But first a small recap.

last week our NAP and nb both won providing us with a nice double in 10 minutes, both looking horses to follow in Zuzka and Taquin Du Seuil. A third selection visited the winners enclosure in the last at Newbury with Chatterbox, who looked very impressive and should build on that performance. We almost made it 4 winners but for Fill The Power to be just touched off at Doncaster. We managed to line our wallets and purses with a bit of money for our night out and we march on to this week.

The centre of attention is the rescheduled Welsh National meeting at Chepstow. Teaforthree is the first really well back favourite in the race in years at 3/1 for Rebecca Curtis and Tony McCoy. But Sandown offer a very good supporting card as they have the 2013 running of the Tolworth hurdle featuring the classy flat recruit Poet for Clive Cox. Without further ado lets crack on with the weeks action and a placepot at Sandown.

12:45 Sandown - Kentford Grey Lady

Emma Lavelle's mare scored in pretty nice style last time under a huge weight over course and distance. She may have been beaten that day but for justazippy falling when upsides at the last. However she went on to score in resolute fashion and today should be no different. She gets weight from her main rivals, receiving 8 pounds from Une Artiste, Alasi and last years winner Kells Belle. The ground wont be an issue with her being a previous winner on testing ground including last time out. Despite her short odds she should get favourite backers off to a nice start and be the first in many multiples. (10/11)

1:15 Sandown - Angelot Du Berlais

Dr Richard Newland's newcomer is of huge interest here, having his first run since coming over from France. In his homeland he showed a liking for testing ground without winning, he did however run some promising races. Im more interested in his hurdling relatives however, showing there could be more to come over hurdles. He is related (through Afreen) to Champion Hurdle third Afsoun and the more than useful dual purpose performer Afrad. If he is anything like those two then he could well take some beating here. The top two have also both been beating and could well be vulnerable again giving weight away to the girls. (8/1)

1:35 Chepstow - Swnymor

Swnymor was mighty impressive at Newbury on debut for Tim Vaughan and it really does seem that the sky is the limit for him. He handed out a 11 length pounding to the useful Amoralist for Nicky Henderson, barely breaking sweat in doing so. This is a much stiffer assignment however, Paul Nicholls thinks the world of his representative Caid Du Berlais. John Ferguson also plays his cards with the unbeaten Ruacana. If Swnymor builds on his hurdling debut however, it will take a top class horse to beat him and we have a really good race in store. (7/2)

1:50 Sandown - King Edmund

Chris Gordon probably has the most exposed runner in the whole field here in King Edmund with today being his 33rd run. He takes on younger horses but has been well in himself this year in Handicaps without winning, he has come 2nd on his last 3 runs and is due his time in the sun. Last time he was behind only the once top class and brave front runner Marodima at Fontwell. He is up 2 pounds for that effort but likes it here and should go well. (7/1)

2:25 Sandown - Poet

As mentioned before, Poet is the potential class act of the race with a very impressive hurdling debut at Newbury under his belt. Rated 110 on the flat (116 at his highest) he frequently contested top flat races and was far from disgraced. Right after his Newbury race I named this as a race that would be perfect for him and it would seem im not far off. The ground will aid him rather than hinder him, and he may get to dominate this small field and steal it from the front. (7/2)

3:00 Sandown - Lord of the House

Lord Of The House won at Folkestone on really testing ground so todays ground will be no problem at all. He is still a very lightly raced horse and after his first win there could be alot more to come from his featherweight. He is two pounds out of the Handicap carrying 10 stone but Gavin Sheehan takes off a further 5 pounds. Off that weight on this ground makes him very interesting and it also doesnt look the strongest race so is well worth an each way shout and this race could be the placepot destroyer. (12/1)

3:20 Chepstow - Soll

Jo Hughes gave a glowing report of the ex Willie Mullins inmate earlier this week and the giant horse looks tailor made for a race like this. He was running well in the national hunt chase a Cheltenham before being bought down by Allee Garde. Last time out he also ran a blinder in the Hennessy before being outpaced by top class horses. This race is much more to his stamina built self and the ground poses no problem whatsoever. Should go well and is a very strong each way bet. (12/1)

3:40 Sandown - Fruity O'Rooney

With Across The Bay going to Chepstow instead of here, Gary Moore's tough front runner should take some beating. He was runner up at the Festival last year and ran his heart out in the Hennessy last time. I have been told a change of tactics may be tried today, he wont fight for the lead but instead drop in if challenged. This is coming from the idea that he is using too much energy early on in his races. Though its a competitive race today, Fruity O'Rooney could take all the beating. Railway Dillon is the big danger. (9/1)

NAP - Poet and Kentford Grey lady double
Nb - Swnymor

Happy Punting today guys

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