Last week was a very average week for us, only two bets landed with 8/1 and 10/1 places. Today the going is looking to be on the testing side which could blow some of the fields wide open across the country. Also i passed 100 followers on twitter this week (mostly racing related). If you aren't following me then you can @lukeyboy1325 where during the week I post fancies etc.
One more topic of discussion, next Friday I am moving to Canada for the foreseeable future and will be trying to keep up to date with English racing. If there are less posts than now then that is the reason why, who knows I may throw in a few Canadian races. Onwards and Upwards though
2:10 Newmarket - Maxentius - A very smart performer from his two starts thus far. Hails from a yard in the form of their life lately and one of the most in form jockeys on board in William Buick. He absolutely cantered home in his last race at Doncaster when being eased down late on. This Colt by Holy Roman Emperor should take all the beating today and will be fresher than Olympic Village after bypassing Royal Ascot. Should take all the beating today. (3/1)
2:25 York - Bolivia - She is a mare by Monsun who has been doing well with his offspring. Bolivia is a 6 year old though, a lightly raced one at that. I think she was a selection when she absolutely bolted in at Sandown a few weeks back. She has been raised 10 pounds for that effort and that shouldnt be enough to stop her today on this testing ground she dearly loves. Always one that is there but you got the feeling she turned over a new leaf in her last run and should go well at decent odds again today. (12/1)
3:20 Newmarket - Sirius Prospect - Yet to refind his best form from last year when winning a listed race at Doncaster on Soft ground. He came late that day and that could just play to his advantages here today with pace almost guaranteed on testing ground. The return to testing ground should see an improvement in his performance, also the most encouraging factor was his return to form behind Black Caviar last time at Ascot. He has a bit of work to do if he is to reverse running with Society Rock from last time though. Real chance (14/1)
3:35 York - Caledonia Lady - I couldn't believe the price she is when I first saw her. I was there last week when she won the Coral Charge very easily after running into horrific traffic problems. Hayley Turner keeps the ride today after winning last week. She has ridden this horse 3 times finishing 4th, 2nd and 1st and she obviously gets on very well with the horse. Today should be another big race for her to claim. (8/1)
4:30 Newmarket - Janoub Nibras - Yesterday the Hannon stable was flying and today should be another big day for him and stable jockey Richard Hughes. This looks to be their best chance of the day however after just prevailing at Kempton in a two horse race. The return to turf looks to be the much in his favour today after finishing 3rd on debut in testing ground at Ascot. On debut he was behind the impressive Cay Verde and Hototo who have both won big races since. Should be bang there (9/2)
Hopefully today will throw up a few winners and spark a return to form from last week, I also hope that I am able to put up a blog next week, but only time will tell.
thank you for reading, happy punting
Showing posts with label newmarket. Show all posts
Showing posts with label newmarket. Show all posts
Friday, 13 July 2012
Friday, 8 June 2012
Saturday 9th June
We shall start of this week by saying welcome to England Black Caviar who arrived in her Newmarket stable on Thursday night. She wont be taking on Frankel but hopefully she leaves a lasting impression just like her fellow Australians Phar Lap, Choisir and Scenic Blast.
Chilworth Icon was the only winner last week with Grandeur and unlucky second, he didn't handle the track at Epsom but still ran a blinder. I'm still confident into him making it into a Group horse on more straightforward tracks and remains a progressive type.
As for today, the racing isn't exactly full of world beaters. It would seem that this is the calm before the storm regarding Royal Ascot. But still selections must be made and there are decent enough National Hunt meetings at both Worcester and Hexham. Both courses seem to have escaped the worst of the weather if you look at their going descriptions. On we go.
2:10 Worcester - The Boss - Has a first run for new owners today after running a decent enough race at Wincanton last time. He jumped left handed that day, there will be no problems with that today due to the left handed course. He has run well in some good races before and this one looks to be particularly weak. He runs off a career low mark, 4 pounds lower than his only winning mark. He will need every yard of the 2 miles here today and should be able to outstay his rivals at a track very dependent on staying power. Hails from a yard in a very good form.
2:20 Newmarket - Zakreet - Now back down to a winning mark, but more importantly he is a confirmed mudlark. He probably just failed to get home last time at Nottingham but is sensibly dropped in trip today. Kevin Ryan has been firing in winners early this season, and this one has already ran well off higher marks. Julie Burke takes off an invaluable 3 pounds tomorrow from an already low weight and in effect runs from a mark of 96. Expect a big run.
3:00 Hexham - Cloudy Dawn - Usually runs well after a break and is a progressive chaser from the Sue Smith yard. She does particularly well with her horses this time of year and it would seem that this one has been saved for this part of the season. He ran into a very well handicapped horse last time out and was a good way clear of the third. A reproduction of that form should be good enough to take this race today from bottom weight. His last win was from a 4 pounds lower mark but has since turned in very respectable efforts. His only win was over course and distance which he returns to today.
3:45 Doncaster - Tariq Too - Ground will be almost spot on today after last time possibly being too soft at Ascot when the meeting was almost abandoned. He showed up well for a long way that day and a furlong and a half out looked the winner before being swamped from all sides to finish ninth, but only beaten just under 5 lengths. Harry Bentley takes of a valuable 3 pounds will in this race could just help decide the outcome. Shouldn't be too far away and i'd find it hard to believe he will be out of the places.
5:00 Worcester - Harry Tricker- In all seriousness it was a hard choice between him and Saticon. He hasn't won since November 2010 and hasn't won over hurdles since November of 09. He was last seen 209 days ago when beating only three home in the Greatwood hurdle behind Brampour at Cheltenham. He has been outpaced over 2 miles in every run this season hence the step up in trip to 2 and a half miles which should definitely be a tick for the positive column. If you go back in his career he has some really smart form, most notably when second to Khyber Kim in the Greatwood. That was off the same mark as today and if he reproduces that run he will win doing handstands. He is a hard horse to predict though.
5:15 Hexham - Little London - Probably the dodgiest selection today in a sense that he is yet to even see a racecourse, he is from the same bloodline as Champion Hurdle winner Alderbrook. The only other positive I can think of is that Sue Smith does very well with her first time runners. She also has a very good record with all of her bumper horses. Should be in the places.
Hopefully there are a few winners today. Happy Punting.
Chilworth Icon was the only winner last week with Grandeur and unlucky second, he didn't handle the track at Epsom but still ran a blinder. I'm still confident into him making it into a Group horse on more straightforward tracks and remains a progressive type.
As for today, the racing isn't exactly full of world beaters. It would seem that this is the calm before the storm regarding Royal Ascot. But still selections must be made and there are decent enough National Hunt meetings at both Worcester and Hexham. Both courses seem to have escaped the worst of the weather if you look at their going descriptions. On we go.
2:10 Worcester - The Boss - Has a first run for new owners today after running a decent enough race at Wincanton last time. He jumped left handed that day, there will be no problems with that today due to the left handed course. He has run well in some good races before and this one looks to be particularly weak. He runs off a career low mark, 4 pounds lower than his only winning mark. He will need every yard of the 2 miles here today and should be able to outstay his rivals at a track very dependent on staying power. Hails from a yard in a very good form.
2:20 Newmarket - Zakreet - Now back down to a winning mark, but more importantly he is a confirmed mudlark. He probably just failed to get home last time at Nottingham but is sensibly dropped in trip today. Kevin Ryan has been firing in winners early this season, and this one has already ran well off higher marks. Julie Burke takes off an invaluable 3 pounds tomorrow from an already low weight and in effect runs from a mark of 96. Expect a big run.
3:00 Hexham - Cloudy Dawn - Usually runs well after a break and is a progressive chaser from the Sue Smith yard. She does particularly well with her horses this time of year and it would seem that this one has been saved for this part of the season. He ran into a very well handicapped horse last time out and was a good way clear of the third. A reproduction of that form should be good enough to take this race today from bottom weight. His last win was from a 4 pounds lower mark but has since turned in very respectable efforts. His only win was over course and distance which he returns to today.
3:45 Doncaster - Tariq Too - Ground will be almost spot on today after last time possibly being too soft at Ascot when the meeting was almost abandoned. He showed up well for a long way that day and a furlong and a half out looked the winner before being swamped from all sides to finish ninth, but only beaten just under 5 lengths. Harry Bentley takes of a valuable 3 pounds will in this race could just help decide the outcome. Shouldn't be too far away and i'd find it hard to believe he will be out of the places.
5:00 Worcester - Harry Tricker- In all seriousness it was a hard choice between him and Saticon. He hasn't won since November 2010 and hasn't won over hurdles since November of 09. He was last seen 209 days ago when beating only three home in the Greatwood hurdle behind Brampour at Cheltenham. He has been outpaced over 2 miles in every run this season hence the step up in trip to 2 and a half miles which should definitely be a tick for the positive column. If you go back in his career he has some really smart form, most notably when second to Khyber Kim in the Greatwood. That was off the same mark as today and if he reproduces that run he will win doing handstands. He is a hard horse to predict though.
5:15 Hexham - Little London - Probably the dodgiest selection today in a sense that he is yet to even see a racecourse, he is from the same bloodline as Champion Hurdle winner Alderbrook. The only other positive I can think of is that Sue Smith does very well with her first time runners. She also has a very good record with all of her bumper horses. Should be in the places.
Hopefully there are a few winners today. Happy Punting.
Friday, 18 May 2012
The Return Of Frankel
Well William Buick appreciation didn't go to plan with Arctic Cosmos getting beat miles out of sight. We did however get one winner with Laugh Out Loud who was 3/1 when I put the blog up, but went off at an SP of 15/8. Daneking almost gave us a nice double but just being outstayed and beaten a neck on the line. If i'm perfectly honest about today, there isn't alot that I fancy in today's racing so it will be a shorter one and also a bit different today.
If you aren't excited about the return of Frankel then you have something wrong with you, but today may be where he is most vulnerable on his return from injury. It's nice to see that he hasn't scared the class acts away with his old friend Excelebration taking him on again but now of course for Ballydoyle. For some reason Sir Henry Cecil still believes Frankel needs a Pacemaker which is why Bullet Train is there even though Ransom Note will probably be more than happy to lead. Excelebration has his own pacemaker in the race and has already left Joseph O'Brien red faced once this year, when leaving it too late on St. Nicholas Abbey. But for me Strong Suit could well be the one to chase home Frankel, he was a much improved horse last year and his Breeders Cup attempt was never going well. Lets hope Frankel can show us another fantastic performance and show us why he is the best horse in the world.
The race before that is a wide open handicap and this spells the return of a horse I have been very keen on seeing this year. He entered my notebook last year at Sandown when 7th behind Martin Chuzzlewit, he was running well when inexperience kicked in, and he threw away a place in the last 50 yards. It wasnt that, that caught my eye though. Before hand in the parade ring is where he caught my eye, his frame was alot bigger than any other horse in the field. He went on to score twice in two races on the turf at Lingfield and then at Goodwood before running into Main Sequence at Newmarket. He was beaten 5 lengths that day and gave the winner heaps of weight, since then Main Sequence has won a Derby trial and is now one of the main protagonists in the betting for the Derby. As long as Poetic Lord is racefit he will take all the beating today and is a fantastic bet at 14/1 (as tonight's prices are).
That really is my only fancy of the day but the only other horse I would consider backing with confidence is Thought Worthy. He gets 5 pounds from Frankel's brother Noble Mission and that should be enough to see him beaten today.
Sorry about the lack of selections today but hopefully Poetic Lord can land us a nice win at 14/1.
Happy Punting as always guys
If you aren't excited about the return of Frankel then you have something wrong with you, but today may be where he is most vulnerable on his return from injury. It's nice to see that he hasn't scared the class acts away with his old friend Excelebration taking him on again but now of course for Ballydoyle. For some reason Sir Henry Cecil still believes Frankel needs a Pacemaker which is why Bullet Train is there even though Ransom Note will probably be more than happy to lead. Excelebration has his own pacemaker in the race and has already left Joseph O'Brien red faced once this year, when leaving it too late on St. Nicholas Abbey. But for me Strong Suit could well be the one to chase home Frankel, he was a much improved horse last year and his Breeders Cup attempt was never going well. Lets hope Frankel can show us another fantastic performance and show us why he is the best horse in the world.
The race before that is a wide open handicap and this spells the return of a horse I have been very keen on seeing this year. He entered my notebook last year at Sandown when 7th behind Martin Chuzzlewit, he was running well when inexperience kicked in, and he threw away a place in the last 50 yards. It wasnt that, that caught my eye though. Before hand in the parade ring is where he caught my eye, his frame was alot bigger than any other horse in the field. He went on to score twice in two races on the turf at Lingfield and then at Goodwood before running into Main Sequence at Newmarket. He was beaten 5 lengths that day and gave the winner heaps of weight, since then Main Sequence has won a Derby trial and is now one of the main protagonists in the betting for the Derby. As long as Poetic Lord is racefit he will take all the beating today and is a fantastic bet at 14/1 (as tonight's prices are).
That really is my only fancy of the day but the only other horse I would consider backing with confidence is Thought Worthy. He gets 5 pounds from Frankel's brother Noble Mission and that should be enough to see him beaten today.
Sorry about the lack of selections today but hopefully Poetic Lord can land us a nice win at 14/1.
Happy Punting as always guys
Wednesday, 16 May 2012
ATR Tracker updates
I have just received a notification email about two horses running from my ATR Tracker today and I will throw in the Dante for good measure. The first day of York saw The Fugue make his step in trip a very successful one when laughing at her opponents in the Musidora and is now a leading light for the Oaks at Epsom. Hoof It was possibly the highest profile running on the first day of the Dante meeting but he looked outpaced the whole way in the 6 furlong group 2 event. There is talk of a step up to a mile for him in time but for the moment a clash with Black Caviar looks on the cards at Ascot.
York - 2:30 - Betfred Dante Stakes
We saw one horse from a Guineas win yesterday in The Fugue, FENCING takes a step up in trip today after staying on well in the 2000 Guineas behind Camelot. Only one win on his CV but he has been very highly tried including some very smart 2 year old form, he is improving the whole time and is one of five in the race with a Derby entry. BONFIRE is the choice of poor tipster Matthew Wynn and he won a very smart maiden before being unlucky at Saint Cloud in France when finishing third behind French Fifteen in the Criterium. He has been the favourite for this race for a while and should be thereabouts. EKTIHAAM has won 3 out of his 4 starts but in his only loss he was the last of 9 to finish, that was his only step up to a Group 1 but this is a lower grade today. He may just be outclassed a little today with 4 of his opponents expected to make it at the top level. MANADEAN is having his first run for Godolphin and must overcome a 187 day break as well as proving his love for faster ground at the top level after winning his last run on testing going. That said he won very easily that day and looks to be going in the right direction and looks a very promising young horse. I'm siding with Aidan O'Brien's classy maiden winner ERNEST HEMINGWAY who hardly broke sweat when winning at Dundalk by 10 lengths. He is thrown in at the deep end today but Ballydoyle have been making some good noises about him and is a very strong understudy to Camelot for the Derby. He will have to prove he is as effective on turf but that really shouldnt be any problem for him and a confident vote goes his way.
5:55 - Newmarket
BURKE'S ROCK has been a winner for the blog already but more is expected of her and she wont be running off a mark of 73 for much longer. She had a very unlucky debut when getting murdered on the turn for home at Lingfield when making progress. Hayley Turner rode hands and heels for the remainder of the race and she picked up again in good fashion to get fourth. Since that She has won on a saturday at Lingfield when seemingly having much more left in the tank at the line. Ryan Moore gets the leg up today and that is in no way a negative thing. She also has an entry in the Ribblesdale at Royal Ascot, that is over further and it would be expected that she will stay very well over the trip today and should be very hard to beat.
8:15 - Ludlow
CORONEA LILLY won at the first time of asking under rules at the Galway Festival in a flat race. She then wasnt seen for 607 days before returning at Hereford for Neil Mulholland when getting a very tender ride from Dougie Costello. She stayed on very takingly in third and should build on that hurdling debut today. The form isnt the strongest from the race but there have been a few placed efforts from the others. She will strip all the fitter for that run and could turn out to be a useful performer over hurdles. It would be no surprise were she to win today and is open to a lot of improvement on this occasion.
NAP - Burke's Rock
NB - Ernest Hemingway
I would be surprised if at least one of them didnt win and for one I will be putting all three in a treble.
Happy Punting
York - 2:30 - Betfred Dante Stakes
We saw one horse from a Guineas win yesterday in The Fugue, FENCING takes a step up in trip today after staying on well in the 2000 Guineas behind Camelot. Only one win on his CV but he has been very highly tried including some very smart 2 year old form, he is improving the whole time and is one of five in the race with a Derby entry. BONFIRE is the choice of poor tipster Matthew Wynn and he won a very smart maiden before being unlucky at Saint Cloud in France when finishing third behind French Fifteen in the Criterium. He has been the favourite for this race for a while and should be thereabouts. EKTIHAAM has won 3 out of his 4 starts but in his only loss he was the last of 9 to finish, that was his only step up to a Group 1 but this is a lower grade today. He may just be outclassed a little today with 4 of his opponents expected to make it at the top level. MANADEAN is having his first run for Godolphin and must overcome a 187 day break as well as proving his love for faster ground at the top level after winning his last run on testing going. That said he won very easily that day and looks to be going in the right direction and looks a very promising young horse. I'm siding with Aidan O'Brien's classy maiden winner ERNEST HEMINGWAY who hardly broke sweat when winning at Dundalk by 10 lengths. He is thrown in at the deep end today but Ballydoyle have been making some good noises about him and is a very strong understudy to Camelot for the Derby. He will have to prove he is as effective on turf but that really shouldnt be any problem for him and a confident vote goes his way.
5:55 - Newmarket
BURKE'S ROCK has been a winner for the blog already but more is expected of her and she wont be running off a mark of 73 for much longer. She had a very unlucky debut when getting murdered on the turn for home at Lingfield when making progress. Hayley Turner rode hands and heels for the remainder of the race and she picked up again in good fashion to get fourth. Since that She has won on a saturday at Lingfield when seemingly having much more left in the tank at the line. Ryan Moore gets the leg up today and that is in no way a negative thing. She also has an entry in the Ribblesdale at Royal Ascot, that is over further and it would be expected that she will stay very well over the trip today and should be very hard to beat.
8:15 - Ludlow
CORONEA LILLY won at the first time of asking under rules at the Galway Festival in a flat race. She then wasnt seen for 607 days before returning at Hereford for Neil Mulholland when getting a very tender ride from Dougie Costello. She stayed on very takingly in third and should build on that hurdling debut today. The form isnt the strongest from the race but there have been a few placed efforts from the others. She will strip all the fitter for that run and could turn out to be a useful performer over hurdles. It would be no surprise were she to win today and is open to a lot of improvement on this occasion.
NAP - Burke's Rock
NB - Ernest Hemingway
I would be surprised if at least one of them didnt win and for one I will be putting all three in a treble.
Happy Punting
Friday, 4 May 2012
2000 Guineas day
Well the day is finally here, the first classic of the year, to think that this time last year we were having doubts about how good Frankel was. This year the hype is about Aiden O'Brien's Camelot. A great support card and supporting meetings at Goodwood and Thirsk to look forward to. Also a big well done to Graham Lee who rode two winners this week, his first since switching to the flat. Without further ado onto today's racing.
2:35 - Qatar Bloodstock Jockey Club Stakes
MASKED MARVEL attracts the eye first up here after breaking the course record when winning the St. Leger last year at Doncaster. He went on to disappoint in the Arc when it was most likely too short for him in distance. His participation today relies heavily on the ground drying out which it shouldn't do over night. AL KAZEEM is a bit of a bridesmaid at the top level, however the only time he has encountered soft ground he was disappointing. But that was in his first run and can be forgiven. His best hope looks to be for a place today though. BLUE BAJAN won at Sandown last year but this will be much to short for him and he will have a bigger target down the line. FIORENTE is another that looks a bit short in the top class category and today looks tougher than he has experienced before. He is open to improvement and will need to show it if he is going to land the spoils today. MEANDRE ventures outside of France for the first time today and is good enough if he handles the ground but 2/1 is plenty short enough for a horse who isnt proven on going like this. If he handles it then he could win easily though. QUEST FOR PEACE beat Arctic Cosmos last year but all his best form is on faster ground than today and is easily opposed as is SADEEK'S SONG who is yet to encounter ground like this. That leaves us with confirmed mudlark DUNADEN who won the Melbourne cup back in November and went on to win the Hong Kong Vase the next month. His early form in France is all on soft and heavy but is in very useful races which is why he is fancied to make his first visit to England a winning one.
3:10 - Qipco 2000 Guineas
BORN TO SEA is closely related to Sea The Stars through Urban Sea, and his half brother needs no introduction at all. He lost his second race by one and a half lengths but it was revealed after the race that he had tore a muscle and did well to finish so close to Nephrite. BRONTERRE is a very buzzy sort and the preliminaries wont help him tomorrow and neither will the step up in distance. If he can remain calm before the race and throughout he will have a huge chance, but its more likely that the ground will be good to firm. POWER wont have any worries with the ground and the distance should be no problem at all, Ryan Moore gets on well with him and has to be one of the leading chances today. His stable mate is the hot favourite for this race and has been for some time. Of course I talk about CAMELOT who won the Racing Post trophy easily, compared to some others in the field he is relatively inexperienced and there are major doubts about the ground for him. FRENCH FIFTEEN beat ABTAAL last time out by a neck but in all you have to question how strong the French form is. The most I can say Olivier Peslier's mount is that he ticks the ground box. CASPAR NETSCHER was a top two year old last year but there are major doubts about him staying the mile here, especially in testing ground, even though he has won in similar conditions. FENCING is inexperienced but is probably better than he has shown thus far, if he handles the ground he could well be the surprise package in the race this year. TOP OFFER has only had his single run but was very impressive when winning it, if he can handle everything today he shouldn't be too far away from the principles. TRUMPET MAJOR comes here race fit after destroying the Craven field here last month when giving weight all round. There is a doubt that he will handle really testing ground but last time out he looked a very much improved horse. If he progresses again then he could well be the winner. TALWAR won a Listed race well at Lingfield first time out so is another that comes here race fit, he has won on soft ground at Sandown so the going shouldnt really be too much of a problem. Connections supplemented him into the race for £30,000 and its clear that you dont do that for a day out. He could well come up with a shock today and is today's selection at a juicy price.
4:55 - Qatar Racing Newmarket Stakes
Frankel will have a racecourse gallop today at 12:30 and his full brother races later in this race. NOBLE MISSION won nicely on very testing ground at Newbury last time out, the time before that he lost on his debut at Yarmouth to a very smart horse in SWEDISH SAILOR who unfortunately wont be going to post today. STENCIVE looks a bit outclassed today unless he improves markedly on his debut. PRINCE ALZAIN is experienced but has pretty much all his form on the fibresand, if he transfers his form to the turf then he could go close but looks one to avoid today and MISTER MUSIC looks exposed now. MICHELANGELO is thrown in here and the son of Galileo may be better good enough to win first time up but looks very much up against it. MARINERS CROSS won the Wood Ditton here last month and looks like the step up in trip will be ideal. The ground also shouldn't be a problem which is why he is today's selection.
Nap - Mariners cross
NB - Dunaden
I shall try and put more races up later, but as for now i'm off to bed, I hope everyone has a successful day and you find a winner or two through my guidance. Happy Punting
2:35 - Qatar Bloodstock Jockey Club Stakes
MASKED MARVEL attracts the eye first up here after breaking the course record when winning the St. Leger last year at Doncaster. He went on to disappoint in the Arc when it was most likely too short for him in distance. His participation today relies heavily on the ground drying out which it shouldn't do over night. AL KAZEEM is a bit of a bridesmaid at the top level, however the only time he has encountered soft ground he was disappointing. But that was in his first run and can be forgiven. His best hope looks to be for a place today though. BLUE BAJAN won at Sandown last year but this will be much to short for him and he will have a bigger target down the line. FIORENTE is another that looks a bit short in the top class category and today looks tougher than he has experienced before. He is open to improvement and will need to show it if he is going to land the spoils today. MEANDRE ventures outside of France for the first time today and is good enough if he handles the ground but 2/1 is plenty short enough for a horse who isnt proven on going like this. If he handles it then he could win easily though. QUEST FOR PEACE beat Arctic Cosmos last year but all his best form is on faster ground than today and is easily opposed as is SADEEK'S SONG who is yet to encounter ground like this. That leaves us with confirmed mudlark DUNADEN who won the Melbourne cup back in November and went on to win the Hong Kong Vase the next month. His early form in France is all on soft and heavy but is in very useful races which is why he is fancied to make his first visit to England a winning one.
3:10 - Qipco 2000 Guineas
BORN TO SEA is closely related to Sea The Stars through Urban Sea, and his half brother needs no introduction at all. He lost his second race by one and a half lengths but it was revealed after the race that he had tore a muscle and did well to finish so close to Nephrite. BRONTERRE is a very buzzy sort and the preliminaries wont help him tomorrow and neither will the step up in distance. If he can remain calm before the race and throughout he will have a huge chance, but its more likely that the ground will be good to firm. POWER wont have any worries with the ground and the distance should be no problem at all, Ryan Moore gets on well with him and has to be one of the leading chances today. His stable mate is the hot favourite for this race and has been for some time. Of course I talk about CAMELOT who won the Racing Post trophy easily, compared to some others in the field he is relatively inexperienced and there are major doubts about the ground for him. FRENCH FIFTEEN beat ABTAAL last time out by a neck but in all you have to question how strong the French form is. The most I can say Olivier Peslier's mount is that he ticks the ground box. CASPAR NETSCHER was a top two year old last year but there are major doubts about him staying the mile here, especially in testing ground, even though he has won in similar conditions. FENCING is inexperienced but is probably better than he has shown thus far, if he handles the ground he could well be the surprise package in the race this year. TOP OFFER has only had his single run but was very impressive when winning it, if he can handle everything today he shouldn't be too far away from the principles. TRUMPET MAJOR comes here race fit after destroying the Craven field here last month when giving weight all round. There is a doubt that he will handle really testing ground but last time out he looked a very much improved horse. If he progresses again then he could well be the winner. TALWAR won a Listed race well at Lingfield first time out so is another that comes here race fit, he has won on soft ground at Sandown so the going shouldnt really be too much of a problem. Connections supplemented him into the race for £30,000 and its clear that you dont do that for a day out. He could well come up with a shock today and is today's selection at a juicy price.
4:55 - Qatar Racing Newmarket Stakes
Frankel will have a racecourse gallop today at 12:30 and his full brother races later in this race. NOBLE MISSION won nicely on very testing ground at Newbury last time out, the time before that he lost on his debut at Yarmouth to a very smart horse in SWEDISH SAILOR who unfortunately wont be going to post today. STENCIVE looks a bit outclassed today unless he improves markedly on his debut. PRINCE ALZAIN is experienced but has pretty much all his form on the fibresand, if he transfers his form to the turf then he could go close but looks one to avoid today and MISTER MUSIC looks exposed now. MICHELANGELO is thrown in here and the son of Galileo may be better good enough to win first time up but looks very much up against it. MARINERS CROSS won the Wood Ditton here last month and looks like the step up in trip will be ideal. The ground also shouldn't be a problem which is why he is today's selection.
Nap - Mariners cross
NB - Dunaden
I shall try and put more races up later, but as for now i'm off to bed, I hope everyone has a successful day and you find a winner or two through my guidance. Happy Punting
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