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Showing posts with label Doncaster. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Doncaster. Show all posts

Friday, 14 December 2012

Saturday 15th December

Today we start on a horrible note that nobody wishes to talk about. As im sure you all know, yesterday 20 Children under the age of 10, and 9 adults were shot dead in Connecticut. Now I know this is in no way horse racing related, but I wanted to pay respects to those who will be spending Christmas this year without a family member at the dinner table. You cant imagine what the families are going through, and it is important they are shown how much the world cares.

But with heavy hearts we go on to today's racing after a very successful week on the last blog.

12:45 Cheltenham or 1:45 Lingfield - Court In Motion

Lingfield is the preferred choice for Emma Lavelle's gelding, but in case of abandonment he is left in at Cheltenham. To be quite honest, he should win either race he goes for today he should take all the beating. He was last seen behind leading 3 mile novice Dynaste at Newbury, he was the only one to make a race of it that day. Eventually he went down by 4 1/2 lengths but emerged as a top novice candidate. Our Father was getting alot of weight last time when winning here at Cheltenham, this time he concedes alot. Timmy Murphy also said he wasnt totally in love with the ground, which suggests he'll struggle today. Court in Motion wont mind the ground at either tracks and should take some beating. Cheltenham 11/4 Lingfield 6/4

1:20 Cheltenham - Oh Crick

A couple of weeks ago Oh Crick landed us an each way winning at Newbury to save us. He goes again today and is one of the only runners who is a confirmed mudlark for Alan King. He keeps Josh Newman on board to take off 7 pounds which in this ground could not be more important. This means he carries 10-4 and with a more than capable jockey should make it count. He wasn't straight when losing to Shooters Wood, id be surprised were he not to reverse that form. Really strong claims for the ex festival winner. (6/1)

1:55 Cheltenham - Coneygree

Im only writing a couple of lines on Coneygree as he is a short priced favourite and should duly oblige. He was put up on this blog when winning here impressively last time, and so far is the leading staying novice hurdler. (11/10)

2:20 Lingfield - Lamps

It will be very soft at Lingfield today (if on) and Lamps excels when puddles are visible. He is effectively raised 10 pounds today for his Sandown demolition job when heavily eased to win, thanks to Tom Cannon claiming 3. There isnt really much left to say about Lamps today other than the fact in he should win and could improve further. (3/1)

2:30 Cheltenham - Tartak

Tim Vaughan's gelding is not one id usually follow, but I have heard some pretty encouraging things from the gallops this week. On that front im willing to take a chance on Tartak. Nobody could deny his talent being a former Peterborough Chase winner (rescheduled to Newbury). He was fifth
Last year at the festival behind Salut Flo and sixth here on reappearance. He is dropped two pounds for that effort and will be much better for it, that also gives me confidence he will go in the ground. With that and stable confidence behind him, Tartak is the selection. (20/1)

2:45 Doncaster - Counsel

Counsel was a horse I followed on the flat with mixed results, he is now with Donald McCain over jumps. He started off life over hurdles in a hot contest at Aintree (Handazan won, runs in Cheltenham opener). Though in truth he probably got stuck in the mud that day and has since won nicely at Bangor on better ground. Reversing placings with Moidore in doing so. Jason Maguire comes to ride him today and his odds are a bit on the generous side right now. Useful flat performer will go well on the better ground once again. (7/1)

3:05 Cheltenham - Grandouet

Nicky Henderson's inmate is my selection right now for the Champion Hurdle in March. This is his comeback run from injury, and he must concede 4 pounds to a racefit Zarkandar which is no easy task. Last year he improved no end however and he should be straight for today, with no ground worries he should make a bold showing and solidify his Festival claims. (5/2)

3:20 Doncaster - Mr Moonshine

His eight length defeat to Bold Sir Brian isnt looking too bad now after the winner's recent Sandown win. A return to 3 miles over fences is just what the doctor ordered here though. Last time he finished very tired on very soft ground at Haydock over hurdles, he was ridden very aggresively then however. On this better ground he is an out and out galloper and wont be stopping on the front end under top weight. As mentioned previously he was one of the top staying novices of last year with a 7th in the RSA. With early market support behind him and better ground, Sue Smith could well win the finale here. (6/1)

5 winners last week so lets hope for more of the same this week!

NAP - Oh Crick and Court in Motion (nice double)
NB - Lamps

Happy punting this week guys

Friday, 8 June 2012

Saturday 9th June

We shall start of this week by saying welcome to England Black Caviar who arrived in her Newmarket stable on Thursday night. She wont be taking on Frankel but hopefully she leaves a lasting impression just like her fellow Australians Phar Lap, Choisir and Scenic Blast.

Chilworth Icon was the only winner last week with Grandeur and unlucky second, he didn't handle the track at Epsom but still ran a blinder. I'm still confident into him making it into a Group horse on more straightforward tracks and remains a progressive type.

As for today, the racing isn't exactly full of world beaters. It would seem that this is the calm before the storm regarding Royal Ascot. But still selections must be made and there are decent enough National Hunt meetings at both Worcester and Hexham. Both courses seem to have escaped the worst of the weather if you look at their going descriptions. On we go.

2:10 Worcester - The Boss - Has a first run for new owners today after running a decent enough race at Wincanton last time. He jumped left handed that day, there will be no problems with that today due to the left handed course. He has run well in some good races before and this one looks to be particularly weak. He runs off a career low mark, 4 pounds lower than his only winning mark. He will need every yard of the 2 miles here today and should be able to outstay his rivals at a track very dependent on staying power. Hails from a yard in a very good form.

2:20 Newmarket - Zakreet - Now back down to a winning mark, but more importantly he is a confirmed mudlark. He probably just failed to get home last time at Nottingham but is sensibly dropped in trip today. Kevin Ryan has been firing in winners early this season, and this one has already ran well off higher marks. Julie Burke takes off an invaluable 3 pounds tomorrow from an already low weight and in effect runs from a mark of 96. Expect a big run.

3:00 Hexham - Cloudy Dawn - Usually runs well after a break and is a progressive chaser from the Sue Smith yard. She does particularly well with her horses this time of year and it would seem that this one has been saved for this part of the season. He ran into a very well handicapped horse last time out and was a good way clear of the third. A reproduction of that form should be good enough to take this race today from bottom weight. His last win was from a 4 pounds lower mark but has since turned in very respectable efforts. His only win was over course and distance which he returns to today.

3:45 Doncaster - Tariq Too - Ground will be almost spot on today after last time possibly being too soft at Ascot when the meeting was almost abandoned. He showed up well for a long way that day and a furlong and a half out looked the winner before being swamped from all sides to finish ninth, but only beaten just under 5 lengths. Harry Bentley takes of a valuable 3 pounds will in this race could just help decide the outcome. Shouldn't be too far away and i'd find it hard to believe he will be out of the places.

5:00 Worcester - Harry Tricker- In all seriousness it was a hard choice between him and Saticon. He hasn't won since November 2010 and hasn't won over hurdles since November of 09. He was last seen 209 days ago when beating only three home in the Greatwood hurdle behind Brampour at Cheltenham. He has been outpaced over 2 miles in every run this season hence the step up in trip to 2 and a half miles which should definitely be a tick for the positive column. If you go back in his career he has some really smart form, most notably when second to Khyber Kim in the Greatwood. That was off the same mark as today and if he reproduces that run he will win doing handstands. He is a hard horse to predict though.

5:15 Hexham - Little London - Probably the dodgiest selection today in a sense that he is yet to even see a racecourse, he is from the same bloodline as Champion Hurdle winner Alderbrook. The only other positive I can think of is that Sue Smith does very well with her first time runners. She also has a very good record with all of her bumper horses. Should be in the places.

Hopefully there are a few winners today. Happy Punting.

Saturday, 31 March 2012

Return Of The Flat Season

Its back to the flat season as that takes centre stage today with Doncaster and Kempton, not forgetting the World Cup later on with So You Think looking a strong challenger for Aidan O'Brien. But big fields today so lets crack on with the racing.

2:05 - Doncaster - Spring Mile
As always the Spring Mile starts off the Flat season and like every year it looks a real easy race to dissect. Richard Fahey is treble handed here today with KAY GEE BE, KYLLACHY STAR and ARABIAN SPIRIT. The latter two have claimers on board with will only help them today but the first string is the first mentioned. KAY GEE BE looks to have an outstanding chance today even though (like most others) its his first run of the year. He seems to run well fresh, he has never been out of the first 3 after more than a 60 day lay off so is one to really put in the note books today. CAPTAIN BERTIE was Pricewise this morning however he hasnt shown much liking for the big field handicaps so far, saying that if he has progressed well into a 4 year old he could take all the beating. Joe Fanning won the all weather jockeys title yesterday and he rides CROWN COUNSEL today who will be one of the race fit horses after a spin round Kempton where he did look in need of a run and will strip alot fitter than last time out. REVE DE NUIT had KINGSCROFT behind him last time when giving him weight, he gets a pound from his rival today and Pat Smullen coming over to take the ride is a huge positive. He is better on the all weather though it looks. SHAMDARLEY is an ultra consistent type who always runs his race, but it is possible he will need the run. REDVERS was 3rd over a furlong shorter here last year and tackles a mile for the first time, if he steps up for the the extra furlong he could be there mixing it in the finish. One who will have no trouble getting the trip is the Dave O'Meara trained MONT RAS who comes off the longest layoff of the race, though he is a 5 year old he is one of the most unexposed ones in the field. He may just need it today though. SNOW BAY just seemed a bit short of the best in the big handicaps on last years form and LEVIATHAN is another that looks a bit short of the top ones here. WEAPON OF CHOICE is another consistent performer but he is yet to have a good crack in the big handicaps. Preference today is for the first mentioned KAY GEE BE for Richard Fahey.

2:40 - Doncaster - Cammidge Trophy
BANNOCK ran a good enough race first time out this year at Lingfield to come third, for that run he will come on no end and last year was a very tough 2 year old. It's hard to rule him out today. WAFFLE was second to Deacon Blues in the Wokingham when giving him weight, a reproduction of that form will see him very close, but he lost his way at the back end of last year. ROYAL ROCK also has form with Deacon Blues and is the highest rated in the field after winning a group 3 at Ascot. He isnt getting any younger however but has gone well fresh before. Dean Ivory is confident that SIRIUS PROSPECT can make it into a Group 1 performer by the end of the year, i think i will have to prove himself to run well fresh today and is opposed. MAYSON could be his biggest challenger and represents strong connections, he was only a neck behind the favourite in his last outing and today gets 3 pounds. Surely that is enough to reverse the form. He should be bang there with a chance. THE CHEKA re-found himself last year with some solid performances, more is needed today though. INTERNATIONALDEBUT has been running really well in Dubai when second over the 6 furlongs there, as long as the trip doesnt have too much of an effect on him he should be mixing it at the end. Another who has been in Dubai is last years winner JIMMY STYLES, he won this for me last year at fancy odds and i cant find any reason to oppose him again today. He runs well at Doncaster and is definitely good enough to win the race. Rated a pound higher than last year and off the same racing weight he is the strongest bet of the day at 16/1.

3:15 - Doncaster - William Hill Lincoln Heritage handicap
The main event today with 22 going down to post and all 22 with chances. ETON FOREVER has been favourite for a long time and has been targeted at this race since winning on this card last year. Like last year Neil Callan takes the ride, he does seem to love it here with only 2 runs and coming first and second both times. He does have to overcome a layoff today and others are preferred. There is strong support behind EDINBURGH KNIGHT from the stable. He landed a massive Handicap at Ascot last year so will handle the hustle and bustle of the Lincoln. SMARTY SOCKS is an admirable type who always runs his heart out, but he may just be better over 7 furlongs than the mile. I fancied FURY until i saw his price this week and Pricewise has shortened it again. last year he was very disappointing and has been gelded since then, you would still have to be brave to back a horse who hasnt beaten a rival home in his last 3 runs. BARREN BROOK gets in at the bottom of the weights and has been backed this morning for each way money. He was in fine form last summer but it seems he does take a while to get going through the season. BRAE HILL hasnt won over further than 7 furlongs but knows what the big fields are about. MIA'S BOY is entering the veteran stage of his career but has lost none of his hunger for the game on the evidence of his last runs, he never seems to perform at his best in this race though which is a worry. STEVIE THUNDER was running over hurdles not too long ago, but has been fantastic since coming back to the flat. A good each way contender today. COCOZZA has never ran outside of Ireland and i cant see him winning a race like this with his lack of experience and on what he has done so far. MAN OF ACTION and START RIGHT are the two Godolphin horses who have to be mentioned, you can forgive the former's latest run as he never got a run in the Cambridgeshire, there should be no worries about that today and the latter has been running well at Meydan since his switch to Saeed Bin Suroor. We are going for a big priced horse today in DUBAI DYNAMO who knows all about these handicaps and believe it or not there is a bit of confidence behind him from the stable. He has run well on his two returns this year (the first was far too short for him) and he is a better horse on the turf than on the all weather.

We are going to divert our attention over to Meydan now

2:45 - Meydan
OPINION POLL is the class act of the race (from the English aspect anyway) but was beaten by stable mate FOX HUNT last time out who is unbeaten since joining the stable. The former will strip much fitter for that run however and should reverse the order. MIKHAIL GLINKA has been running well lately but will need to step up again to land this race. It would be lovely to see KASBAH BLISS win this in his veteran years, but he does look up against it and a place may be his best chance. BARBICAN did nothing wrong last year and deserves his chance in this company, he is the selection for the race. Note that trainer reports he has travelled over very well.

4:00 - Meydan
MARGOT DID flies the flag for england today and will be much better for her run first time out, but she was never really in it that day and will have to improve no end for the run. I dont know much about JOY AND FUN if im honest but he is fancied (like every other horse in the field) so i cant really comment too much on his chance. One i can comment on is SOLE POWER who is the selection for the race after just getting touched off last time by INVINCIBLE ASH. Johnny Murtagh's race will be much fitter for the run and should take all the beating.

6:00 - Meydan
CIRRUS DES AIGLES won the Champion Stakes last year but wasn't himself when he ran last time out back in France, improvement should see him close. Johnny Murtagh was really looking forward to riding the unbeaten BEATEN UP who takes a step up in class today. His biggest threat could be Aidan O'Brien's ST NICHOLAS ABBEY who won well at the Breeders Cup, but im going for BEATEN UP to remain unbeaten.

6:40 - Meydan
A ridiculous amount of prize money here just for a horse race but i wouldnt turn it down. SO YOU THINK was disappointing in America when only managing 6th. Excuses were available then as he had been on the go a long time. The surface shouldnt be a problem for him at all. The Japanese horse SMART FALCON is very strongly fancied back in his own country but they would fancy a donkey in this if it was running and from Japan. In fairness though the horse hasnt done anything wrong whatsoever. We are going for the Breeders Cup classic runner up in GAME ON DUDE who loves this surface and should go close if he shows his best. Chantal Sutherland takes the ride again rightly after the cracker she gave him in the Breeders Cup.

I hope you enjoy today's racing and i hope there are a few decent priced winners above.
Happy Punting

Wednesday, 11 January 2012

Frankel King Of The World

So it's official, Frankel is the best in the world after Timeform ratings came out yesterday, the question all year has been 'Who is better Frankel or the Australian horse Black Caviar'. With all British and Australian sides split both defending their corners and the possible chance of a race at Royal Ascot next year competed between the two to savour, it seems this is the first bit of solid evidence that puts Frankel firmly on top. French horse Cirrus Des Aigles and the emphatic Arc winner Danedream couldnt be split on 128 in behind. Canford Cliffs, Rewilding, Excelebration, Nathaniel and Dream ahead also made the top 10.

Onto today's racing and proper jumps racing now with more than one meeting held at Doncaster and Ffos Las with Fairyhouse supporting in Ireland. I've had a Lucky 15 bet today consisting of 3 shorter priced horses and a double figure price to boost the value.

1:05 Doncaster - Very interesting race but my selection for this is classy flat horse and new hurdling recruit for Saleem Gollings, Theology. The favourite from the Nicky Henderson yard looks a tough horse to beat and Andrew Tinkler seems to fancy him however assuming Theology takes to hurdles he should be in a different class.

12:45 FFos Las - Taikoo looks very much the one to beat, didnt seem to get the three miles first time out over hurdles over at Doncaster, dropped slightly in trip and has the softer ground he relishes it looks to be a nice opening for Taikoo to open his account over hurdles.

1:50 FFos Las - Mountainous has been raised 12 pounds for his last win at the track although he does very much look a horse on the upgrade in the Twiston-Davies yard. excels in softer ground and came a very good 3rd behind an exciting horse of Tim Vaughan's called Rev It Up.

3:25 Doncaster - Azaluda bay is the horse that will give the bet some value, he is a pretty consistent type who every time he drops to a mark like today's seems to pop up with a win (although only 2 wins to his name) and a very good conditional jockey in Chris Timmons takes 7 pounds off his back today. Can see him going very well today.

bet of the day is Theology, Happy Punting.