We shall start of this week by saying welcome to England Black Caviar who arrived in her Newmarket stable on Thursday night. She wont be taking on Frankel but hopefully she leaves a lasting impression just like her fellow Australians Phar Lap, Choisir and Scenic Blast.
Chilworth Icon was the only winner last week with Grandeur and unlucky second, he didn't handle the track at Epsom but still ran a blinder. I'm still confident into him making it into a Group horse on more straightforward tracks and remains a progressive type.
As for today, the racing isn't exactly full of world beaters. It would seem that this is the calm before the storm regarding Royal Ascot. But still selections must be made and there are decent enough National Hunt meetings at both Worcester and Hexham. Both courses seem to have escaped the worst of the weather if you look at their going descriptions. On we go.
2:10 Worcester - The Boss - Has a first run for new owners today after running a decent enough race at Wincanton last time. He jumped left handed that day, there will be no problems with that today due to the left handed course. He has run well in some good races before and this one looks to be particularly weak. He runs off a career low mark, 4 pounds lower than his only winning mark. He will need every yard of the 2 miles here today and should be able to outstay his rivals at a track very dependent on staying power. Hails from a yard in a very good form.
2:20 Newmarket - Zakreet - Now back down to a winning mark, but more importantly he is a confirmed mudlark. He probably just failed to get home last time at Nottingham but is sensibly dropped in trip today. Kevin Ryan has been firing in winners early this season, and this one has already ran well off higher marks. Julie Burke takes off an invaluable 3 pounds tomorrow from an already low weight and in effect runs from a mark of 96. Expect a big run.
3:00 Hexham - Cloudy Dawn - Usually runs well after a break and is a progressive chaser from the Sue Smith yard. She does particularly well with her horses this time of year and it would seem that this one has been saved for this part of the season. He ran into a very well handicapped horse last time out and was a good way clear of the third. A reproduction of that form should be good enough to take this race today from bottom weight. His last win was from a 4 pounds lower mark but has since turned in very respectable efforts. His only win was over course and distance which he returns to today.
3:45 Doncaster - Tariq Too - Ground will be almost spot on today after last time possibly being too soft at Ascot when the meeting was almost abandoned. He showed up well for a long way that day and a furlong and a half out looked the winner before being swamped from all sides to finish ninth, but only beaten just under 5 lengths. Harry Bentley takes of a valuable 3 pounds will in this race could just help decide the outcome. Shouldn't be too far away and i'd find it hard to believe he will be out of the places.
5:00 Worcester - Harry Tricker- In all seriousness it was a hard choice between him and Saticon. He hasn't won since November 2010 and hasn't won over hurdles since November of 09. He was last seen 209 days ago when beating only three home in the Greatwood hurdle behind Brampour at Cheltenham. He has been outpaced over 2 miles in every run this season hence the step up in trip to 2 and a half miles which should definitely be a tick for the positive column. If you go back in his career he has some really smart form, most notably when second to Khyber Kim in the Greatwood. That was off the same mark as today and if he reproduces that run he will win doing handstands. He is a hard horse to predict though.
5:15 Hexham - Little London - Probably the dodgiest selection today in a sense that he is yet to even see a racecourse, he is from the same bloodline as Champion Hurdle winner Alderbrook. The only other positive I can think of is that Sue Smith does very well with her first time runners. She also has a very good record with all of her bumper horses. Should be in the places.
Hopefully there are a few winners today. Happy Punting.
Showing posts with label chilworth icon. Show all posts
Showing posts with label chilworth icon. Show all posts
Friday, 8 June 2012
Friday, 1 June 2012
Epsom Derby Day
'Was' won the Oaks yesterday for Aidan O'Brien and Seamie Heffernan, but I have no doubt on that if the race was re-run on a flat track she wouldnt have won. That said she did win the oaks and must be respected for it. Vow, The Fugue and Maybe all hated the track and William Buick's mount was luckless in running when caught on heels numerous times. Vow hung down the camber the whole time down the home straight and should be better next time out.
As for the selections yesterday, it was nice to get a good priced double 42/1 in with Side Glance and Highland Knight. Personally for me it was great to see Side Glance winning as it is one I have been following for some time now. Highland Knight ran exactly the race I expected him to and looks one to stick with for the season after being so game in the finish.
Onto today and some strong selections for Derby Day.
1:35 - Epsom - Grandeur - He won at Goodwood last week in very good style going away to win by 2 and a quarter lengths. A slight step up in trip today but that will be no bother at all and the 4/1 price right now seems very overpriced. He has shown a love for fast ground and more importantly a distinct love for undulating tracks, he has won at Goodwood and at Brighton. The latter being one of the most demanding tracks in the world, let alone in England. He has been raised 8 pounds for his win last time out, but that shouldn't be too much of a burden after the style of his last win. One final point is that you must take note whenever William Buick rides for Jeremy Noseda, Mr Buick is in particularly good form as of late also.
2:05 - Epsom - Chilworth Icon - One thing is for sure in this 6 furlong race, that there will be a lot of pace on the cards today. Mick Channon's Colt just gets the vote here in a very hot contest. His one race on the turf resulted in a win, in good style at that. He ran a blinder last time out on the fibresand at Kempton behind Lyric Ace who is expected to rise to the very top level. The selection is also entered into a listed contest at Naas on Monday. The order of the day yesterday seemed to be front runners (except gatewood), in his only win he did it from the front but will need to be better out of the stalls today. Like I say this is a very tight race and Chilworth Icon was only just the selection ahead of liber. Mick Channon's yard are in fine form just now and Martin Harley is on a high after riding his first classic winner aboard Samitar.
2:40 - Epsom - Masked Marvel - He clearly needed the run first time up on very unfavourable ground at Newmarket. This will be more of a stamina test today which will be firmly in the John Gosden trained colts favour after last time it turned into a bit of a dash. Since his victory in the St. Leger last year he has been defeated twice but his entry in the Arc was never a good idea and he finished dead last. Robin Hood will be cutting out the early pace in an attempt to set it up for St. Nicholas Abbey who comes with his troubles. If he has an off day I fully expect the selection to take advantage of that. Just a silly thought that I am willing to be jeered for is the suggestion that Robin Hood could stick around long enough for a place, and it wouldn't be the biggest surprise in the world to see him steal it and win from the front. Worth a speculative 50p each way, most probably a better horse than his rating suggests of 97. (line up to laugh at me)
3:15 - Epsom - Judge 'N Jury - He won for me last time out at York when doing it all from the front and holding off stable mate Secret Witness. He seemed to have a lot in hand over the rest of the field as nothing but the runner up was really closing on him. I have already stressed the importance of a front runner on this course from yesterday's form. He would have a 4 pound penalty to carry but the very talented Darren Edward Egan takes off that penalty and an extra pound. He has ridden this horse twice and is yet to be unplaced aboard him finishing 2nd and 1st. His first run this year was completely against him in a sense that the ground was bottomless and his fitness gave out. He only has one run to his name at this course and he showed a liking for it when finishing 4th (denied third on the line). Should be thereabouts again.
4:00 - Epsom - Cavaleiro - Admittedly a bit of a speculative shout but really the others are only playing for place claims behind Camelot in my opinion. Marcus Tregoning's colt is one of the most experienced in the race but is still the lowest rated in the field as well. Hayley Turner also has her first ride in the Derby and is only the 2nd female rider in the Derby ever. He stayed on pretty well in the Derby trial at Lingfield but Main Sequence and Shantaram had already flown and he was looked after from then on in. He won a competitive race at Newbury in very game fashion at Newbury last year and he will come on a bundle for the run at Lingfield. Putting my neck on the line a bit with this next remark. Bonfire and Main Sequence will not place. A simple reason for the first mentioned in that he is a live wire and the atmosphere will most probably get to him tomorrow. As for the latter, he is unbeaten and has beaten the selection already today, but id have doubts about him handling the course too well.
4:50 - Epsom - Oceanway - A horse that never seems to stop running and is as tough as they come. He has been waiting for the faster ground this year which he finally gets today, one bonus from the fact he has been on unfavourable going is he is now at a winable mark. His last run was off a mark of 93 and today runs off of 91 which puts him right into the mix. Silvestre De Sousa is a notable jockey booking for his ex boss and Oceanway is taken to return to winning ways today.
lets hope to carry on the good form into today with some more winners. Happy Punting
As for the selections yesterday, it was nice to get a good priced double 42/1 in with Side Glance and Highland Knight. Personally for me it was great to see Side Glance winning as it is one I have been following for some time now. Highland Knight ran exactly the race I expected him to and looks one to stick with for the season after being so game in the finish.
Onto today and some strong selections for Derby Day.
1:35 - Epsom - Grandeur - He won at Goodwood last week in very good style going away to win by 2 and a quarter lengths. A slight step up in trip today but that will be no bother at all and the 4/1 price right now seems very overpriced. He has shown a love for fast ground and more importantly a distinct love for undulating tracks, he has won at Goodwood and at Brighton. The latter being one of the most demanding tracks in the world, let alone in England. He has been raised 8 pounds for his win last time out, but that shouldn't be too much of a burden after the style of his last win. One final point is that you must take note whenever William Buick rides for Jeremy Noseda, Mr Buick is in particularly good form as of late also.
2:05 - Epsom - Chilworth Icon - One thing is for sure in this 6 furlong race, that there will be a lot of pace on the cards today. Mick Channon's Colt just gets the vote here in a very hot contest. His one race on the turf resulted in a win, in good style at that. He ran a blinder last time out on the fibresand at Kempton behind Lyric Ace who is expected to rise to the very top level. The selection is also entered into a listed contest at Naas on Monday. The order of the day yesterday seemed to be front runners (except gatewood), in his only win he did it from the front but will need to be better out of the stalls today. Like I say this is a very tight race and Chilworth Icon was only just the selection ahead of liber. Mick Channon's yard are in fine form just now and Martin Harley is on a high after riding his first classic winner aboard Samitar.
2:40 - Epsom - Masked Marvel - He clearly needed the run first time up on very unfavourable ground at Newmarket. This will be more of a stamina test today which will be firmly in the John Gosden trained colts favour after last time it turned into a bit of a dash. Since his victory in the St. Leger last year he has been defeated twice but his entry in the Arc was never a good idea and he finished dead last. Robin Hood will be cutting out the early pace in an attempt to set it up for St. Nicholas Abbey who comes with his troubles. If he has an off day I fully expect the selection to take advantage of that. Just a silly thought that I am willing to be jeered for is the suggestion that Robin Hood could stick around long enough for a place, and it wouldn't be the biggest surprise in the world to see him steal it and win from the front. Worth a speculative 50p each way, most probably a better horse than his rating suggests of 97. (line up to laugh at me)
3:15 - Epsom - Judge 'N Jury - He won for me last time out at York when doing it all from the front and holding off stable mate Secret Witness. He seemed to have a lot in hand over the rest of the field as nothing but the runner up was really closing on him. I have already stressed the importance of a front runner on this course from yesterday's form. He would have a 4 pound penalty to carry but the very talented Darren Edward Egan takes off that penalty and an extra pound. He has ridden this horse twice and is yet to be unplaced aboard him finishing 2nd and 1st. His first run this year was completely against him in a sense that the ground was bottomless and his fitness gave out. He only has one run to his name at this course and he showed a liking for it when finishing 4th (denied third on the line). Should be thereabouts again.
4:00 - Epsom - Cavaleiro - Admittedly a bit of a speculative shout but really the others are only playing for place claims behind Camelot in my opinion. Marcus Tregoning's colt is one of the most experienced in the race but is still the lowest rated in the field as well. Hayley Turner also has her first ride in the Derby and is only the 2nd female rider in the Derby ever. He stayed on pretty well in the Derby trial at Lingfield but Main Sequence and Shantaram had already flown and he was looked after from then on in. He won a competitive race at Newbury in very game fashion at Newbury last year and he will come on a bundle for the run at Lingfield. Putting my neck on the line a bit with this next remark. Bonfire and Main Sequence will not place. A simple reason for the first mentioned in that he is a live wire and the atmosphere will most probably get to him tomorrow. As for the latter, he is unbeaten and has beaten the selection already today, but id have doubts about him handling the course too well.
4:50 - Epsom - Oceanway - A horse that never seems to stop running and is as tough as they come. He has been waiting for the faster ground this year which he finally gets today, one bonus from the fact he has been on unfavourable going is he is now at a winable mark. His last run was off a mark of 93 and today runs off of 91 which puts him right into the mix. Silvestre De Sousa is a notable jockey booking for his ex boss and Oceanway is taken to return to winning ways today.
lets hope to carry on the good form into today with some more winners. Happy Punting
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