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Friday, 12 September 2014

Crowning Of The Leger King

Good morning/evening to you all, I hope we have got over last weeks exertions and are ready for a huge weekend of racing. Despite only having six meetings in the British Isles tomorrow we have three Group Ones, three Group Twos and two Group Threes... Got that? Good!

We had a strong weekend on the blog last week with an 11/1 winner courtesy of G Force and two places at 14/1 and 16/1 with Agent Murphy and Marmalady who were potentially unlucky. This week promises to be even better with four strong fancies, but before we get to that...

As always OnTheOtherHoof have prepared a video for you all as we run through the day of racing on Channel 4, with some Irish action thrown in for good measure. Joining me on the panel today are @Calummadell, @Mytentoryours and @TWEnclosure. We hope you enjoy the video!

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=05xfWzMSTHo&feature=youtu.be

Now onto the all important selections for today.

2:40 Doncaster - Muthmir

William Haggas and Paul Hanagan get today started off for us with the exciting Muthmir who has been progressing nicely all season. He announced himself onto the handicaps scene with a demolition job off a mark of 93 at York in the Skybet Dash when beating Goldream. You would have to search far and wide to find a horse travel into a big six furlong handicap as well as Muthmir that day, but he matched it with a turn of foot as well which is quite a potent combination in this sphere. It was quite clear that day that his days in handicap company were numbered and it still only looks a matter of time before he is taking on better horses.

If there were any negatives to take from York it would be that he wandered a little when coming off the bridle and he showed a bit of greenness late on in the day. That would probably account for a more disappointing effort at Goodwood in the Stewards Cup, although in truth there wasn't a lot wrong with his run. Personally I feel that race came a bit too soon for him and after a break of 42 days there will be no excuses today and he should show his class once more. (5/1)

2:50 Bath - Marmalady

You will probably remember Marmalady from last week as she made an appearance on the blog when in action at Ascot and left us heartbroken when going down by a head behind Algar Lad. She had been struggling on the Lingfield polytrack which clearly doesn't suit her before a much better effort last week, and she returns to a course where she has won at before on ground she will adore.

Both herself and Algar Lad put a lot of distance between themselves and the rest of the field last week which justifies the six pounds rise in the handicap. However she effectively runs off a one pound lower mark due to the claim of Hector Crouch who is a promising young rider and one you will hear a lot more about. Along with a one pound lower mark this is also a much weaker contest than that of seven days ago which will suggest that everything is in her favour today. Marmalady to finally gain another well deserved win and go one better than last week to justify today's Nap. (11/4)

3:50 Doncaster - Kings Fete

If you are unlucky enough to follow me on twitter (@Lukeelder13) then you will know how highly I regard Kings Fete, but for those of you who don't here is some reasoning!

There was a rather large sigh of relief earlier in the week when it was confirmed that Kings Fete would take his chance after a good piece of work at home last Saturday. He has long been my idea of the winner of this race after a strong Maiden at Sandown before improving once again at York in handicap company. He proved at York that he comes with a health warning however, as he bolted on the way to post that day before proving very keen in the early part of the race. It just shows how much talent he has that he could still beat older and more experienced rivals after behaving the way he did, but he came unstuck next time out.

He was given a strong waiting ride by James Doyle on his first visit to Goodwood when also wearing a hood for the first time which helped him settle, but he was given too much to do and failed to catch Double Bluff who made all. The hood came off last time out on his second visit to Goodwood and he was very keen early on again before coming up short behind Alex My Boy and Forever Now who re-oppose today.

He doesn't carry the strongest portfolio coming into the race but he is an improving figure and the booking of Ryan Moore is a very strong one. I am also pretty confident that he is the best horse in the race, but even I have to concede that he does need to settle early on if he is to have a chance today. (16/1) advised ante-post along with Romsdal at (7/1)

http://lukeelder.blogspot.co.uk/2014/08/ladbrokes-st-leger-ante-post.html

6:05 Doncaster - Bronze Angel

I was a little disappointed that Bronze Angel wasn't closer last time, but looking back it wasn't the worst run to finish behind Short Squeeze, Top Notch Tonto and an improving Balducci. He runs off the same mark of 99 today but is assisted by the Ebor winning jockey Louis Steward who takes a valuable five pounds off.

He didn't run too badly last time out, but it was his effort two outings ago that sticks out in my mind when luckless in running behind Red Avenger at Glorious Goodwood. He was drawn awfully that day but overcame it early on and had to give everything in the field a head start, however it wasn't the start that beat him. Around two furlongs out he got a bump from the eventual winner and was set back a couple of lengths, it took him a while to regather his momentum but when he did he absolutely flew home to no avail.

With his riders claim he runs off the same mark as that day which should see him go well and that is why Bronze Angel is taken to land today's prize on the way to the Cambridgeshire once more. (5/1)

NAP - Marmalady
Nb - Muthmir

Good luck guys and as always, happy punting!








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