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Friday, 27 June 2014

Hay Is Just What The Doc Ordered

Good morning/evening everybody, last week was successful but still a tad disappointing with Slade Power and Pique Sous winning nicely with Pether's Moon also placing, however we must do better this week. Today marks the rematch of Australia and Kingston Hill in the Irish Derby who filled first and second places in the English equivalent. The Ballydoyle representative is a heavy odds on shot whereas Roger Varian's first Group One winner is around the 4/1 mark at the time of writing this.

As always we have a video preview online for you as we make our way through all the day's Channel 4 action. Joining me on the panel this week is @Adamwebb121, we hope you enjoy the video and any questions you may have are appreciated and will be read out, just tweet myself at @Lukeelder13.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ctg0nyBRCNg

Now onto the all important selections!

2:05 Newcastle - Doc Hay

Doc Hay has been horribly out of form so far this season and the switch to Brian Ellison's yard hasn't seemed to help him too much yet. However last time out at Musselburgh he showed glimpses of his former self and was very unlucky to finish only eighth in a very strong handicap. He was characteristically slow out of the stalls and took up his usual place at the back of the field before finding more than his fair share of trouble in running. That came over an inadequate trip of five furlongs which seems a bit on the short side for him nowadays so the step back up to six furlongs should see him to good effect. Ian Brennan keeps the ride meaning with his three pound claim Doc Hay will be running off a mark nine pounds lower than his last winning one, as well as his lowest mark since early 2012. Doc Hay to take advantage of a slipping handicap mark and put one hoof back in the right direction after a prep run today over five furlongs. (12/1)

3:30 Newmarket - Gregorian

Gregorian disappointed on his seasonal reappearance at Epsom but history suggests that he usually needs his first run of the year so we can easily forgive that effort. We last saw him in winning form at Newbury in August last year when he beat Soft Falling Rain and the re-opposing Tawhid that day in a Group Two. Before that came his best effort by a country mile when third in the Queen Anne at Royal Ascot when finding only Declaration Of War and Aljamaaheer too good. If Gregorian's effort at Epsom has put him anywhere near 100% for today then he should take a lot of beating in a weak field compared to his usual company. (5/1)

4:10 Windsor - Gamesome

Olly Stevens throws Gamesome in the deep end here as he takes on the older horses for the first time after a good effort at York last time out. That run came as he was dropped back to six furlongs after not seeing out a furlong longer at Newmarket, although admittedly it wasn't the trip that beat him that day. He bounced back in good style when fourth at York behind See The Sun and the third placed horse (Kickboxer) has since won. As Gamesome is the only three year old in the field he gets a very handy seven pound allowance meaning in reality, he is running off a mark of 91 which could be lenient. Gamesome is taken to beat his elders today at Windsor with Jamie Spencer in the saddle. (5/1)

5:15 Newmarket - Urban Dance

It is no secret that Charlie Appleby hasn't exactly set the world alight in the first half of the season, however his string have been coming on significantly for the run. Urban Dance has his second start of the season today which see's him step down in trip to a distance he is unbeaten at from two attempts. Mickael Barzalona has partnered him on both of his victories however since he is now back riding in France, William Buick takes over in the saddle. It has seemed that a mile and a half has just been stretching his stamina at this stage of his career so the step back to a mile and a quarter looks a positive one, however the in form Llanarmon Lad could prove a tough nut to crack. (4/1)

NAP - Gregorian
Nb - Doc Hay

Have a great weekend all and as always, happy punting!

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