Haven't made a blog since last Saturday, i can only apologise for this. It was nice to see the Jumpers Bumpers at Kempton yesterday, namely seeing Tetlami and Oscar Whisky managing to win in their prep run for the Festival in March. Musselburgh gets the go ahead today with a good looking card and there are a few good bets to be had there.
12:35 Lingfield - You may be asking why im tipping a horse in a Maiden at Lingfield on a Saturday, but this race is actually where my NAP of the day comes from.
BURKE'S ROCK was very unlucky last time out (which was her first run) when she was badly hampered when about to turn for home at the same course. Hayley Turner was the Pilot that day and after the incident she nursed him home to which he seemed to be staying on nicely under hands and heels. She wont need to improve too much for her first run to land this competition. YAJBER looks a nice type and has a bit more experience than the others but may just be playing for places. IMTITHAL came second at 66/1 in her first start at Lingfield and the jockey booking is very positive in Kieran Fallon whereas BORDONI hasnt seen a racecourse yet and could be anything (a Sadler's Wells horse). But im siding with BURKE'S ROCK today after an encouraging maiden.
2:05 Musselburgh - KIE is exposed and disappointed majorly when failing to carry a penalty at Kempton last time, however whether there is a horse like Ranjaan in this field is debatable. The second in that race has come out and failed to boost the form so Donald Mccain's charge may be worth swerving today. UNCLE BRYN finished 2 lengths behind our selection today but was getting weight from him and shouldn't reverse the form with CREEKSIDE. John Ferguson's horse was a very useful animal on the flat rated a highest of 104, he didnt exactly win his maiden like a world beater but he did it nicely and should take all the beating today.
3:10 Musselburgh - Tipping in these races this close to Cheltenham is a difficult thing to do with trainers maybe trying to keep their horses weight down. DE BOITRON falls into this category as i have no doubt Ferdy Murphy will have the Grand Annual in mind at the Festival. SILK DRUM may be being aimed at Aintree again. SAFARI ADVENTURES is sure to make sure there is a gallop to this race but may find one or two a bit fast for him at the end of the race. KOSTA BRAVA runs of a very low weight however his jumping does need to improve considerably if he is going to land this prize. SANTA'S SON is another that is going to ensure there is no hanging around here but may not be good enough to beat a few of these but was running nicely when coming down at Haydock. LIGHTENING ROD was second to Sprinter Sacre, he was beaten by 24 lengths but was heavily eased when beaten (around 3 lengths down at the last). He unseated last time out but his jumping is usually sound enough. ULTIMATE has been tried at a higher level but may not be suited by how the race is run today. The selection for this race is Tony Carroll's GRACCHUS who was just having his first run for him when second at Warwick. Lee Edwards takes 3 off today and this looks like one to definitely be on the right side of. A winner three times in Ireland at Tipperary, Leopardstown and Cork, today could be the day he opens his account in England.
3:45 Musselburgh - The last selection today is one of the strongest bets of the day. UBI ACE won a competitive Handicap at Sandown a while back on Tingle Creek day and was far from disgraced behind Celestial Halo when 3rd last time out. Looks sure to run another strong race today and would be no surprise to see him win. PALAWI is a nice horse and won here last time out, however a 9 pound rise should account for him. DONTPAYTHEFERRYMAN loves it round here and stands every chance however i get the feeling he runs his best races on soft ground. STORMY WEATHER won last time out and ran a nice race in the fighting fifth for a long way, but he seems to find winning difficult and may be worth avoiding today. KOUP DE KANON ran well at Cheltenham last time and it would be no surprise to see him go close today. CRY OF FREEDOM was a good horse on the level and has run 2 nice races over hurdles but has unseated once. He may just be better in time when he knows a bit more about the game. UBI ACE is the selection.
NAP - Burke's rock
NB - Ubi ace
happy punting
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