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Saturday, 14 January 2012

Kempton 14th January

12:30 - MONTEGONIAN travelled well for a 100/1 shot for a long way last time out over course and distance behind Ranjaan. However he may be best watched for the time being, Phillip Hobbs has a high class flat recruit in SADLER'S RISK and he should be thereabouts if making a successful transition to the National Hunt game. STATE SENATOR is another making the switch to Hurdles from the Flat, He went off some short prices for his efforts on the flat when trained by Sir Mark Prescott but never fulfilled his potential and also may be best watched for the moment. DUBAWI DANCER is my selection for this race, won his first hurdle at Doncaster by 7 lengths (with the 2nd coming out and winning the other day)

1:05 - Only the 3 horses go to post for this but its definitely not short on talent here, MENORAH is the short priced favourite but his jumping is far from perfect, even when winning last time out at Taunton. There is no doubt he has bags of talent but his jumping could leave him vulnerable to KUMBESHWAR here who has looked a very impressive Novice this season and its hard not to be impressed by him. ALASI is the third horse in the field but will be better over two and a half miles and should be found out over this shorter trip, however she has done nothing wrong over fences and gets a small weight allowance.

1:40 - HIT THE HEADLINES bounce back from his poor Newbury run with a win at Huntingdon last time, although does have to give weight all round here and can be opposed. KING'S SUNSET is a point to point winner and was fancied on his first start under rules but was comprehensively beaten on debut when fancied, presuming he will come on for that run 16/1 doesnt look a bad each way price. CAPTAIN SUNSHINE is yet to win but has done nothing wrong, getting 6 pounds from the Nicky Henderson horse looks to have the beating of him and will surely be involved in the finish. Im going to take the each way value on KING'S SUNSET in a hope that he comes on for the run last time out.

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