Not expecting too much today due to my birthday being today on Friday 13th, but i shall soldier on through it. Lack of stories in the racing world today except the Robert Winston whip ban, but i spoke about the whip ban yesterday so i have given myself the less than easy job of dissecting the Lanzarote Hurdle on Saturday at Kempton.
A race filled with young improving horses and none improving faster than David Pipe's DECOY who ran an extraordinary race to win a conditional jockeys hurdle at cheltenham under the talented Conor O'Farrell. However last time out he was beaten by a fast improving Phillip Hobbs horse name FEATHERBRED LANE who this year has gone up 24 pounds in his last two runs but was very impressive last time out at Aintree. Paul Nicholls trains 2 in this race the first being a former Cheltenham Festival winner in AMERICAN TRILOGY who returns to hurdles after a disappointing time over fences, a return to his best hurdles form should see him go very close. DOMTALINE is the second Nicholls horse ridden by Nephew Harry Derham, he was very impressive at Chepstow but he ran into 2 very useful horses at haydock in Grandouet and Marsh Warbler, an improving kind and looks to be the Nicholls first string. BUENA VISTA usually saves his best for Cheltenham in March, OHIO GOLD has been tricky but has finally found the winning way, this might be too much of an ask for him though. KUILSRIVER is a horse i like and was in need of the run last time however i wouldnt expect him to be good enough to trouble the main protagonists here. ACT OF KALANISI goes for the in form Dr Richard Newland yard but may just need a bit more give in the ground and looks a bit short on his best form. LIGHTNING STRIKE has a 6 pound penalty and that should account for his chance with the improving SWINCOMBE FLAME looking a little short but is in off a low weight. My selection for the race is DOMTALINE who looks on the upgrade, EASTLAKE is another improving young horse but has a short break to overcome and it would be no surprise to see him run a big race.
For my bet today we will have to wait until the last race at Lingfield for a horse called Sherjawy who returned to form last time with a nice 2nd place effort. If returning to his best form then you will be counting your money turning for home however has dropped down the weights and the years of racing may be catching up with him. He showed last time he has lost none of his enthusiasm and looks like a good bet at 5/1 in a weaker contest.
Happy Punting :)
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