Good morning/evening to you all, I hope we are prepared for another busy afternoon of racing and ready to bounce back from a poor blog last week. Nothing particularly went right last weekend with Heavy Metal meeting a lot of trouble and facing no chance whatsoever before Intrinsic ran a poor race. This was topped off before Kings Fete pulled away his chance early on but proved he stayed the trip well, but he is still no back number for the St Leger and with the addition of a hood could still go close.
As always we have a video preview prepared for you as we look through the day of action on Channel 4 from Sandown, Chester and Beverley. Joining the panel alongside myself are @Adamwebb121, @Calummadell and @TWEnclosure.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZBHajU3cd88&feature=youtu.be
Now onto the all important selections!
2:20 Chester - B Fifty Two
B Fifty Two is an interesting individual who failed to refind his two year old form for quite some time before correcting that at Newmarket last season over six furlongs. Since then his form has been far better but has been prone to throwing in the odd shocking performance, but they tend to come on faster surfaces. He was most recently seen when running a blinder at the York Ebor Festival behind Blaine and Move In Time, however I argue that the performance can be upgraded.
He raced handy and unchallenged on the far side throughout the race and led the whole field until no more than 20 yards from the line, when caught by the near side group. This was a race that seemed to collapse at the front and fall into the hands of the held up horses, which makes B Fifty Two's performance all the more impressive. He has rightly been raised two pounds in the handicap for that performance, but with a plum draw of stall number two and a course and distance win to his name this season we can take him to go two better this time. (9/2)
3:30 Chester - Noble Silk
From a sprint to a staying contest with Lucy Wadham's representative, Noble Silk who has been in fine form this season including big runs at Glorious Goodwood and the Northumberland Plate. Despite not being outside of the first four in six races this season, he has only been raised five pounds in the handicap, he has also be second twice, third once and victorious once at Haydock.
Despite not winning all that much he has been running in much better races than today's contest and was last seen behind Havana Cooler and Van Percy. I have never been a huge fan of the latter mentioned, however despite that you can't deny he is very consistent and showed that when second in the Ebor last week.
Noble Silk was beaten by two and a half lengths by Van Percy, but that could have been a much smaller margin as he was denied a run by the eventual winner just over a furlong out. By the time he has regathered himself and started to stay on again he found himself with too much to do and the race had gone, but he did stick to the job well. It will be interesting to see how Paul Mulrennan uses his mount here as he stays further which can't be said for some of his rivals, Noble Silk to run them into the ground. (7/2)
3:15 Sandown - Water Hole
Water Hole has a similar profile to one of last years winner's with Integral who came here lightly raced before dead heating with Ladys First. The former has since gone on to be an established force amongst her own sex but Water Hole still has a long way to come until then, she has set herself a solid base though.
Today is another step up from the races she has contested so far, however it isn't as strong as some past renewals that aside from the already mentioned have gone to Dank and Strawberrydaiquiri. I am also not one to read too much into stats but with Ladys First ruled out all of the last five winners have been a three year old which is in Water Hole's favour.
From a tactical point of view there isn't much pace on and Water Hole seems to be the only one that can go forward after making the running last time at Newmarket. If she can get an easy time of thing on the front end then it will take a good horse to catch her and Fintry is vulnerable under her penalty. Water Hole is taken to land her first Group race on only her first attempt in this company. (5/1)
NAP - B Fifty Two
Nb - Water Hole
Good luck today guys and as always, happy punting!
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